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Home»Baseball»How ya like them apples?: Mets vs. Mariners Series Preview
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How ya like them apples?: Mets vs. Mariners Series Preview

News RoomBy News RoomJune 1, 2026No Comments5 Mins Read
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How ya like them apples?: Mets vs. Mariners Series Preview

Fresh off back-to-back sweeps of the A’s and the Arizona Diamondbacks, the Mariners enter June in first place in their division, with a 31-29 record. Never a doubt, right?

Game

Time

Mariners Starter

Mets Starter

Mariners Win%

Mets Win%

Game 1

Monday, June 1 | 6:40 pm

RHP Emerson Hancock

RHP Austin Warren / LHP Sean Manaea

52.6%

47.4%

Game 2

Tuesday, June 2 | 6:40 pm

RHP Logan Gilbert

RHP Jonah Tong

56.3%

43.7%

Game 3

Wednesday, June 3 | 12:40 pm

RHP George Kirby

RHP Freddy Peralta

55.5%

44.5%

*Game odds courtesy of FanGraphs

Overview

Mariners

Mets

Edge

Batting (wRC+)

108 (2nd in AL)

88 (13th in NL)

Mariners

Fielding (FRV)

-15 (14th)

-6 (12th)

Mets

Starting Pitching (FIP-)

90 (5th)

94 (5th)

Mariners

Bullpen (FIP-)

90 (2nd)

84 (5th)

Mets

Let’s set the scene together, shall we? Think back to the early (and then not-so-early) days of this Mariners season, when everything felt chaotic in all the worst ways. Players were dropping like flies, former stalwarts looked awful and the vibes were all around bad. Take all that, stuff it into the New York media megaphone and then add many more millions of dollars of salary and stress. Ta da! You’ve got the 2026 Mets. Carlos Mendoza is treating every day like a gift (and by gift, we mean a package left on your doorstep, shoddily wrapped and disconcertingly lumpy, with no return label or other markings). But, credit to ‘em, they’re riding a nice little win streak of their own and could be in the midst of turning things around. Regardless of how the series transpires, it seems Mets fans are overwhelmingly unbothered by us PNWers.

Player

Position

Bats

PA

K%

BB%

ISO

wRC+

Carson Benge

RF

L

217

21.2%

7.4%

0.106

97

Bo Bichette

SS

R

258

16.3%

7.4%

0.089

69

Juan Soto

LF

L

180

14.4%

13.3%

0.292

175

Jared Young

DH

L

39

20.5%

12.8%

0.152

140

A.J. Ewing

CF

L

74

32.4%

12.2%

0.079

94

Mark Vientos

1B

R

192

20.8%

3.6%

0.165

83

Brett Baty

3B

L

195

28.2%

9.2%

0.110

87

Marcus Semien

2B

R

233

19.7%

6.9%

0.108

76

Luis Torrens

C

R

103

20.4%

4.9%

0.075

66

If you’re looking at this lineup wondering “Hey, this is a weird list of players. I thought [insert names including Francisco Lindor, Jorge Polanco, Kodai Senga and more] was on the Mets this year?” you’re absolutely correct. They’re supposed to be on the Mets, but they are instead, unfortunately, hurt. It’s been part of their whole issue. Other components to the Mets’ issues include Bo Bichette being what some physicians might diagnose as “refried ass,” Marcus Semien being old and Luis Torrens, sweetie pie that he is, being their everyday catcher. The outfield is Juan Soto and a duo of babies with promising upside, and former Doosan Bear Jared Young is having the season of his life. They’re an offense that’s been trending positively of late, but whether that’s because they set the bar so low at the start or because they’ve truly turned things around remains to be seen.

Probable Pitchers

Updated Stuff+ Explainer 

Pitcher

IP

K%

BB%

HR/FB%

GB%

ERA

FIP

Sean Manaea

34

23.8%

9.4%

7.5%

34.7%

5.56

3.65

Emerson Hancock

64.2

25.1%

6.0%

12.1%

43.5%

2.78

3.56

Pitch

Usage vRHB

Usage vLHB

Velocity

Stuff+

Whiff+

BIP+

xwOBA

Four-seam

60.9%

50.0%

90.2

97

90

79

0.356

Sinker

19.2%

43.8%

89.7

93

59

104

0.394

Cutter

9.4%

3.9%

83.9

96

Changeup

10.4%

2.3%

83.0

85

Sweeper

44.0%

60.2%

74.5

119

94

128

0.264

Sean Manaea enjoyed a resurgence in his first season with the Mets back in 2024, keyed by a new arm slot and a new sweeper. He struggled with injuries and ineffectiveness last year and was relegated to the bullpen to start this season. With David Peterson limping to a 5.18 ERA in 13 appearances, the Mets have opted to move Manaea back into the rotation. The team will use Austin Warren as an opener and then turn to Manaea for the bulk of the middle innings. He’s still reliant on his fastball-sweeper combo but he’s widened his arsenal by reintroducing a sinker and cutter into his repertoire. Those two pitches have helped him manage his platoon split a bit better this year.

Pitcher

IP

K%

BB%

HR/FB%

GB%

ERA

FIP

Jonah Tong (MiLB)

38

32.7%

14.3%

27.6%

42.2%

5.68

5.42

Logan Gilbert

68.1

25.0%

5.8%

13.4%

35.3%

3.69

3.97

Jonah Tong flew through the Mets’ minor league system after being drafted in the seventh round in the 2022 draft. He made his big league debut late last year after posting a 1.43 ERA across 22 minor league starts. Tong’s success rides on a plus plus fastball that has a ton of carry at the top of the zone. His secondary pitches are a little less developed; his changeup is the best of the lot but his cutter and curveball look decidedly average right now. Tong started the year in the minors but the Mets recalled him a few weeks ago when Clay Holmes went down with his leg injury. He’s worked behind an opener in his two outings and I’d expect the Mets to continue that strategy to protect Tong from over exposure.

Pitcher

IP

K%

BB%

HR/FB%

GB%

ERA

FIP

Freddy Peralta

66

23.9%

9.8%

11.9%

41.3%

3.55

3.94

George Kirby

74

19.7%

5.7%

10.0%

52.7%

3.77

3.47

Pitch

Usage vRHB

Usage vLHB

Velocity

Stuff+

Whiff+

BIP+

xwOBA

Four-seam

55.9%

52.7%

93.9

96

102

103

0.323

Changeup

20.2%

25.5%

87.3

87

87

104

0.249

Curveball

9.4%

16.2%

79.1

111

103

81

0.291

Slider

14.5%

5.6%

83.0

97

147

133

0.429

Freddy Peralta was one of the Mets’ headlining acquisitions this offseason. Acquired in a trade from the Brewers, Peralta was expected to give New York an ace to lead the starting rotation. His fastball is his best pitch; he gets a ton of extension down the mound and his short stature produces a flat approach angle that really fools hitters. He’s got a trio of above average secondary pitches, though the effectiveness of each has waned a bit this year. He can be a little wild with his command, but has enough deception to generate high chase rates out of the zone. At times, that wildness can lead to a bunch of walks, but he’s usually able to overcome those extra base runners with a ton of strikeouts.

The Big Picture:

The AL West

Team

W-L

W%

Games Behind

Run Diff

Recent Form

Mariners

31-29

0.517

+30

W-W-W-W-W

Athletics

28-31

0.475

2.5

-34

L-L-L-W-L

Rangers

28-31

0.475

2.5

+7

L-L-W-W-W

Astros

27-34

0.443

4.5

-33

W-W-L-W-L

Angels

23-37

0.383

8.0

-51

L-W-L-W-L

The Mariners have a two and a half game lead in their division and are currently the only team above .500. If that feels fragile to you, how about this: Only your teams in the American League have a record over .500. If the playoffs began today, the 29-31 Toronto Blue Jays would have Wild Card 3. Everyone in the West embarks on interleague play this week, which should be varying levels of entertaining. Me personally? I’ll be tuning in to Rockies vs Angels. As the towering pile of laundry I promised myself I’d do yesterday but eschewed in favor of attending the M’s game can attest, sometimes a little mess can feel good.

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