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Start spreading the news: the New York Knicks are in the NBA Finals.
While the Western Conference competitors — San Antonio and Oklahoma City — sort themselves out, the Eastern Conference champion Knicks sit with 12 total postseason wins and await their opponent for the Bill O’Brien Trophy.
New York will be an underdog in the NBA Finals, regardless of the opponent, and Kalshi is offering prediction markets on the Knicks’ total number of playoff wins when the smoke settles on the tournament.
Here’s a look at those NBA odds and what market makes the most sense to New York backers.
How Many Playoff Games Will the Knicks Win?
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Prediction markets have “Yes” 15+ wins listed with a 50% probability, which would get better if the Western Conference Finals go seven games.
The New York Knicks need 16 victories to win the title, and 15 would make it a thrilling seven-game series. We had one of those last year, with the Oklahoma City Thunder edging out the Indiana Pacers in a do-or-die finale.
New York will be the more rested of the two contenders, but barely avoided the “rust” spot in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals after an extended break. The Knicks needed to rally from 22 points down in the fourth quarter to win the series opener, en route to a sweep of the Cleveland Cavaliers.
👍Go New York, Go New York, Go!
If you’re not as ambitious about the Knicks but give them plenty of respect for their postseason play, 14+ wins is trading with “Yes” as a 70% probability at Kalshi. This option pays out if the series goes at least six games, putting weight on the Knicks to win at home.
New York has been excellent in a star-studded Madison Square Garden this spring, owning a 6-1 record in the Mecca while boasting a playoff-best net rating of 16.1 at home.
I like this “Yes” option, as it pays $2 for every $1 investment at the current probabilities and doesn’t need the series to go seven games to win. Most NBA Finals go six games, and the Knicks have the personnel, star power, and coaching to make these matchups competitive.
👎No New York, No New York, No!
If you’re not buying into the Knicks’ postseason run and think whoever comes out of the West will squash a rusty New York squad, then “No” 13+ wins is paying a pretty penny.
This side of the market is essentially picking the Western champs to sweep the NBA Finals, which has occurred just nine times. The last time a title winner broke out the broom in the finals was when Golden State swept Cleveland in 2018.
If that happens to the Knicks in 2026, you’re looking at a current $12 win for every $1 investment. Again, this prediction market will fluctuate based on whether there’s a Game 7 in the WCF.
New York has won all three Game 1 outings so far in the 2026 NBA Playoffs, and the NBA Finals won’t tip off until June 3, putting the Knicks’ red-hot run on ice for more than a week.
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Read the full article here