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We had an incredible series opener out West last night — what will be in store for us when the ECF begins tonight between the Knicks and Cavaliers?
Our basketball experts weigh in on how Game 1 will go with their favorite NBA picks for tonight’s matchup at Madison Square Garden.
Cavaliers vs Knicks Expert Picks Tonight
|
Pick |
Odds |
|---|---|
|
Jon Metler: Brunson o6.5 assists |
+120 |
|
Jason Logan: CLE 1Q +2 |
-115 |
|
Joe Osborne: NYK -7 |
-115 |
Odds courtesy of bet365.
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Jon Metler’s expert pick: Jalen Brunson Over 6.5 assists
Price: +120 at bet365
Nobody is happier that the Cavaliers won Game 7 and advanced to the Eastern Conference Finals than Jalen Brunson, because now he gets to face much weaker point-of-attack defense instead of the menace that is Ausar Thompson.
Brunson won’t even need many screens to initiate offense and create shots for his teammates; he can break down this defense off the bounce on his own while also putting significant pressure on the drop coverage of Jarrett Allen, which should create even more potential assist opportunities.
One angle I really love for Game 1 is the scheduling spot: The New York Knicks have had several days off, while the Cavaliers are coming off a grueling seven-game series with only one day of rest. That should also lead to plenty of transition opportunities for Brunson to attack a fatigued Cleveland defense and generate easy assists. This prop is trading at +120, but I price it closer to -145.
Jason Logan’s expert pick: Cavaliers 1Q +2
Price: -115 at bet365
The Knicks have been chilling for some time now, having last played on May 10. While that rest edge works in New York’s advantage over the course of the series, it could leave the Knicks flat in the first 12 minutes of Game 1.
The Cleveland Cavaliers, on the other hand, are coming off a do-or-die Game 7 win on Sunday and bring that mentality and momentum into MSG. Cleveland is playing its best basketball, having won four of its last five, while (more importantly) proving it can win on the road in the playoffs.
I’m not sure what the full 48 minutes bring for Cleveland, but I like the Cavs to come out swinging in Game 1 and cover the first-quarter spread.
Joe Osborne’s expert pick: Knicks -7
Price: -115 at bet365
The Knicks are in a very similar spot to their Game 1 matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers, when they caught a visiting team coming off an emotional (and unlikely) Game 7 road win — and rolled to a 39-point victory.
Statistically, New York has been the best team in the playoffs so far, leading the postseason in net rating. Since Game 4 of their first-round series, the Knicks are 7-0 with an absurd average margin of victory of 26.4 points. The long layoff is worth noting, but if any team welcomes it… it’s New York, after breaking down physically the past few seasons. This team is fresh and ready to come out aggressively tonight.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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