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The New York Knicks are waiting. Hurry up, Western Conference Finals.
Regardless of who the Knicks face in the NBA Finals, predictions can already be made at Kalshi — one of our favorite prediction market apps — particularly on a New York player winning Finals MVP.
Here are my rankings of the best value NBA Finals MVP win probabilities for the Knicks.
Knicks NBA Finals MVP odds at Kalshi
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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Ranking Knicks NBA Finals MVP options
Unless otherwise listed, players are trading with less than a 1% win probability.
1. Josh Hart
The Oklahoma City Thunder are obviously more likely to advance out of the West. Thus, for the New York Knicks to win the Finals, they need to slow down Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
View Josh Hart in the Andre Iguodala mold from the 2015 Finals. Iguodala slowed down LeBron James while averaging 16.3 points per game, buoyed by shooting 40% from deep.
Hart has averaged 11.4 points this postseason while shooting a rough 30.3% from beyond the arc, but if that latter number ticks up, it will carry his scoring with it, while everyone already knows to trust his defense.
2. OG Anunoby
OG Anunoby may draw the Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assignment as often as Hart, his physical strength perhaps able to keep SGA from getting into the lane at will.
Anunoby returned from a hamstring worry to play in all four games of the sweep of the Cavaliers, averaging 16.25 points in that rout of a series.
Let’s put it this way: If the Knicks upset the Thunder, either Hart or Anunoby needs to have found more success than not defending Gilgeous-Alexander, and that thought should draw more attention than a 99-to-1 price suggests.
3. Jalen Brunson (28%, +257)
In the bigger picture, if the Knicks win the Finals, there is no one more valuable than Jalen Brunson. He took a pay cut of about 30% to help New York’s roster, and the result has been undeniable.
Who is more valuable than that?
On the court, a team’s high scorer is always an obvious bet to win a series MVP nod.
4. Karl-Anthony Towns (3%, +3233)
Somehow, Karl-Anthony Towns’s postseason run is flying largely under the radar. He has averaged 16.9 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 5.9 assists while shooting 48.9% from deep.
Imagine an NBA Finals where Towns notches a triple-double — he has two this postseason as well as a third game with 10 assists — and shoots 50% from deep. Quite frankly, the most outlandish part of that thought may be the implication that New York wins the NBA Finals.
5. Mikal Bridges
If Mikal Bridges can forget his Game 4 shooting — 4-of-16 from the field — and return to his previous postseason form, then don’t rule out anything. In the first 13 games of these playoffs, Bridges shot a casual 62.8% from the field while averaging 14.5 points.
The path to an MVP for Bridges lies in remaining efficient while further increasing his volume.
6. Mitchell Robinson
Just because a market offers a bet does not mean you should bet it. Let Mitchell Robinson be the example that proves that rule.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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