The New York Mets (47-66) begin a three-game series at Progressive Field against the Cleveland Guardians (57-56) tonight. While Cleveland enters the series battling in the AL Central and Wild Card races, the Mets hosted a yard sale the past few days and sold off pieces from what is arguably the most disappointing ballclub in the majors this season.
Speaking of the Trade Deadline, the Guardians acquired Jo Adell (Angels), Foster Griffin (Nationals), and Nathaniel Lowe (Reds) in an effort to wake up what has been a slumbering offense. The Mets made a slew of trades headlined by deals involving Clay Holmes (Cubs), Luke Weaver (Pirates), Brooks Raley (Phillies), AJ Minter (Twins), and Freddy Peralta (Rays).
The Guardians have won just two of their last five games but did shut out the Diamondbacks Sunday, 5-0, to salvage the finale of their three-game series with Arizona. Chase DeLauter starred in the win, going 2-for-4 with a double, three RBIs, a run scored, and a stolen base. The Mets, meanwhile, have dropped three straight and have scored but four runs over their last three games. Journeyman Robert Stock was better than good Sunday for New York allowing one run over five innings but the finale of the homestand, a 2-0 loss, continued a season-long trend of inconsistent offense and unmet expectations.
New York is scheduled to start veteran left-hander Sean Manaea (2-5, 4.42 ERA). After a rough start to July, the veteran finished strong allowing three runs in 12 innings over his last two starts. Cleveland counters with left-hander Joey Cantillo (8-6, 3.88 ERA). Cantillo’s most recent start came on July 29 at Cincinnati in which he threw four shutout innings in a 6-1 win. That appearance was a nice bounce back from the two previous starts that saw him give up 15 hits and nine runs over just 8.2 innings.
Lets dive further into tonight’s game and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Mets vs. Guardians
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Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
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Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, SNY, CLEGuardians.TV
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The Latest Odds: Mets vs. Guardians
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
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Moneyline: New York Mets (+128), Cleveland Guardians (-155)
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Spread: Mets +1.5 (-168), Guardians -1.5 (+139)
Probable Starting Pitchers – Mets vs. Guardians for August 4
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Mets: Sean Manaea
Season Totals: 91.2 IP, 2-5, 4.42 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 88K, 30 BB -
Guardians: Joey Cantillo
Season Totals: 113.2 IP, 8-6, 3.88 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 124K, 54 BB
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Mets vs. Guardians
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Bo Bichette was 3-16 against the Marlins over the weekend
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Carson Benge has hit safely in 5 of his last 6 games (8-22)
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Rhys Hoskins has gone yard twice in his career against Sean Manaea in his career
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Joey Cantillo has struck out at least 7 in 4 of his last 5 starts
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Travis Bazzana has hit safely in 5 of his last 6 games (7-22)
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Jose Ramirez is 8-41 (.195) since returning from the disabled list on July 22
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Top Betting Trends & Insights: Mets vs. Guardians
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The Mets are 52-61 on the Run Line this season
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The Guardians are 59-54 on the Run Line this season
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The OVER has cashed 48 times in New York’s 113 games this season (48-56-9)
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The OVER has cashed 52 times in Cleveland’s 113 games this season (52-61)
Expert picks & predictions: Mets vs. Guardians
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Mets and the Guardians:
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Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
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Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Guardians on the Run Line.
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Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 7.5
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
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Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
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Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
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Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
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Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
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