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Home»Baseball»Forget Tarik Skubal. These MLB trade deadline deals will actually decide October.
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Forget Tarik Skubal. These MLB trade deadline deals will actually decide October.

News RoomBy News RoomAugust 6, 2026No Comments14 Mins Read
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Forget Tarik Skubal. These MLB trade deadline deals will actually decide October.

The Dodgers did not need an ace. They had one in Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who was an absolute master last fall as he was leading Los Angeles to its second straight World Series title. The Dodgers also have a two-time Cy Young Award winner in Blake Snell coming back from the injured list soon, followed by another All-Star in Tyler Glasnow.

It didn’t matter. The Dodgers went out and got the best available pitcher at the Aug. 3 trade deadline anyway.

Yamamoto threw two complete games last October, the first pitcher to do that in a postseason since Curt Schilling in 2001, then he came out of the bullpen in Game 7 of the World Series and got the last eight outs. He was the Series MVP. With Snell expected back next week and Glasnow on schedule for a late August return, the Dodgers will have depth. Shohei Ohtani has stepped away from pitching for now, but is expected back on the mound at some point this season.

So, Tarik Skubal is not filling the role of team savior. He’s insurance against three arms that have to come back right. The Los Angeles rotation, despite the laments about injuries, already led the majors in ERA without the two-time reigning Cy Young Award winner.

More than 60 trades went through from the middle of July to Aug. 3. A few, like the Skubal deal, made a good team even better. A few of these moves will decide whether a team plays in October at all. Those are arguably worth more, and they are also the ones most likely to blow up.

Here are five big impact trades, sorted by how much they are likely to matter once the season gets shorter:

In June, the Red Sox looked ready to have a fire sale. Then they won 23 of 26 games, and Craig Breslow started spending prospects. He sent three of Boston’s top five prospects to Baltimore to get a catcher that can help the Red Sox in October.

He needed to. Carlos Narvaez and Connor Wong combined for a .615 OPS behind the plate this season. Rutschman is a three-time All-Star who switch-hits, frames and calls a solid game. He is 28 and under club control through next season, so it’s not a rental.

Where this could blow up on Breslow and Boston is with Rutschman’s health. He arrived at Fenway Tuesday on the injured list with left wrist inflammation, and his injury history was the biggest worry executives had about him at the deadline. The Red Sox went into Wednesday night’s games 61-51 and four games ahead of Cleveland for the last wild card spot. They will be playing in October if Rutschman is.

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Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

It’s trade deadline day in Major League Baseball, with some big names expected to be dealt in the hours, minutes and seconds leading up to the 6 p.m. ET deadline.

The Los Angeles Dodgers‘ trade for back-to-back Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal further solidified the World Series champions as the favorites to win it all once again.

“I don’t think I’ve felt this good after getting swept,” Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said after Sunday’s loss to the Boston Red Sox – who rode a wild winning streak into contention and should be involved in a deal or two ahead of the deadline.

Keep it here for the latest rumors and updates as the clock winds down:
Pirates set for Luke Weaver trade with Mets Pushing for their first postseason appearance in 11 years, the Pittsburgh Pirates are bolstering their bullpen with a trade for Luke Weaver. Weaver has a 1.84 ERA this season for the New York Mets, in the first year of a two-year, $22 million deal.

(Brad Penner, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

1 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

It’s trade deadline day in Major League Baseball, with some big names expected to be dealt in the hours, minutes and seconds leading up to the 6 p.m. ET deadline.

The Los Angeles Dodgers‘ trade for back-to-back Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal further solidified the World Series champions as the favorites to win it all once again.

“I don’t think I’ve felt this good after getting swept,” Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said after Sunday’s loss to the Boston Red Sox – who rode a wild winning streak into contention and should be involved in a deal or two ahead of the deadline.

Keep it here for the latest rumors and updates as the clock winds down:
Pirates set for Luke Weaver trade with Mets Pushing for their first postseason appearance in 11 years, the Pittsburgh Pirates are bolstering their bullpen with a trade for Luke Weaver. Weaver has a 1.84 ERA this season for the New York Mets, in the first year of a two-year, $22 million deal.

(Brad Penner, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

2 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Red Sox trade for Adley
Rutschman In a stunning deal that marks the end of a failed rebuild in Baltimore, the Orioles are trading catcher Adley Rutschman to the Boston Red Sox Monday, Aug. 3, a rare intra-division deal for a three-time All-Star, ESPN first reported. Rutschman, 28, was the first overall pick in 2019, chosen over prep shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. as the OriolesÕ reward for a 115-loss season that prompted the hiring of now club president Mike Elias. Through two more 100-loss seasons, Elias continued collecting elite draftees and building what appeared to be a sustainable and potentially imposing youth movement.

(Dan Hamilton, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

3 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Robbie Ray to Padres
The Giants are trading a former Cy Young winner within the NL West, sending Robbie Ray to the San Diego Padres in exchange for prospects Joniel Hernandez and Miguel Mendez.

(Denis Poroy, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

4 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Braves get Brent Suter

Atlanta landed left-handed pitcher Brent Suter in a trade with the Los Angeles Angels, sending infielder Nacho Alvarez Jr. to Southern California, the teams announced Monday morning.

(Kiyoshi Mio, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

5 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Mets send Brooks Raley to Phillies
Brooks Raley has been traded from the Mets to the rival Phillies. The Mets are receiving outfielder John Spikerman and right-handed pitcher Luke Gabrysh in the deal. The move comes after the Mets also offloaded left-hander A.J. Minter to the Twins last Friday. Raley and Minter were the two likeliest trade candidates out of the Mets’ bullpen given their expiring deals. The Mets also traded Freddy Peralta to the Rays on Sunday and right-handed reliever Huascar Brazoban to the White Sox early Monday morning.

(David Frerker, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

6 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Luis Arraez to the Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies are trading for three-time batting champion Luis Arraez and right-reliever Kaleb Kilian of the San Francisco Giants, a person with direct knowledge of the trade told USA TODAY Sports. The Giants will receive starter Ramon Marquez, the PhilliesÕ No. 4 prospect and reliever Marty Gair. The person spoke on the condition of anonymity since the trade has yet to be announced until physicals are complete. Arraez, a three-time All-Star, is hitting .324 this season with four homers, 47 RBIs and an .801 OPS. And although heÕs left-handed, he still rakes against lefties, hitting .315 with a .341 on-base percentage and .782 OPS. HeÕs exactly the type of hitter the Phillies are looking for, someone who is dramatically different than the rest of the slugging lineup they have in place. He has struck out just 21 times all season.

(Kelley L Cox, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

7 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Blue Jays acquire Jose Soriano
Just one day after trading away staff ace Kevin Gausman, the Toronto Blue Jays have added a starting pitcher to take his place in the rotation. The Jays have acquired right-hander Jose Soriano from the Los Angeles Angels, ESPN’s Jeff Passan reports. In exchange, the Angels receive shortstop prospect Arjun Nimmala, outfielder Eddie Micheletti and right-hander Angel Rivero. Nimmala is the Jays’ No. 2 overall prospect, according to MLB Pipeline, behind fellow shortstop JoJo Parker. The other two prospects aren’t among the Jays’ top 30.

(Bruce Kluckhohn, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

8 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Freddy Peralta experiment ends for Mets
It took David Stearns seven months to turn the No. 3 prospect in baseball into three players who don’t crack anybody’s top 100. In January, the Mets sent Jett Williams and Brandon Sproat to Milwaukee for Peralta and Tobias Myers. Williams was supposed to be part of the next contending Mets team. Instead, he’s a Brewer, Peralta is a Ray and New York is last in the National League East. Stearns opened these talks asking for a top-100 prospect and more. He got none. He gave away any leverage he had by scratching Peralta on Friday, signaling he was about to hold a fire sale.

(Jeff Hanisch, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

9 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

White Sox land Luis Castillo
The Chicago White Sox didn’t have to prove they were legitimate playoff contenders, but they affirmed as much on Saturday when they acquired right-handed pitcher Luis Castillo from the Seattle Mariners in exchange for reliever Seranthony Dominguez, former outfield prospect Nolan Jones and catching prospect Boston Smith. Castillo, 33, was expendable in Seattle thanks to the Mariners’ deep rotation, a gaggle of majors-ready prospects and the $24.1 million salary he’s due in 2027. He also hasn’t performed particularly well this season, posting a 5.06 ERA in 20 appearances (17 starts) this season. Yet Castillo is a three-time former All-Star who finished fifth in 2023 AL Cy Young award voting and as recently as last season pitched 180 innings. He’ll add length to a White Sox rotation that thins out after No. 1 starter Sean Burke and No. 2 Davis Martin.

(Stephen Brashear, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

10 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Cubs get Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman, 35, is 5-10 with a 4.38 ERA in 23 starts this season but has been one of the most consistent starters in baseball for the past half-decade, posting a 3.36 ERA from 2020-2025. A two-time All-Star, Gausman finished third in AL Cy Young voting in 2023. Toronto is receiving minor league outfielder Brett Bateman and infielder Ty Southisene in the trade. Gausman was stellar in the Blue Jays’ 2025 postseason run, ultimately losing in Game 7 of the World Series to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Gausman started five games and also got the win in relief in Game 7 of the ALCS.

(Kevin Sousa, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

11 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Skubal trade had nothing to do with money
Tarik Skubal is a Dodger, and perhaps more significantly the avatar for All That Is Wrong With Baseball, he and his new team the whipping boys for a looming lockout whether or not L.A. wins a seemingly inevitable third consecutive World Series title. The Dodgers are kicking everyoneÕs behinds in every facet of the game: Drafting, player development, scouting (which includes assessing internal talent) and providing a workplace where players want to be.

(Luke Hales, Getty Images)

12 / 12

Blockbuster trades and late surprises on MLB trade deadline day

Mets’ fire sale continues
While it’s not the magnitude of the Freddy Peralta trade, the New York Mets have dealt another pitcher. The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal reported overnight that they’ve send hard-throwing reliever Huascar Brazoban to the Chicago White Sox for minor-league pitchers Gabe Davis and Zach Franklin.

(David Frerker, IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect)

Nobody has more riding on the deadline boost than San Diego. The Padres went into Wednesday night’s games 59-55, one game back of Arizona, which is in the third wild card spot. Two weeks ago, the assumption was that the Padres would sell. The rest of baseball hungrily scouted their closer, Mason Miller.

The rotation was the problem all season. Padres starters carried a 4.66 ERA, fourth worst in the majors, and Michael King and Walker Buehler were the only regular starters left standing. The club was throwing three bullpen games per week.

A.J. Preller went out and fixed things in a day.

Mize left Detroit with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP in 16 starts and fewer than two walks per nine. Ray, the 2021 AL Cy Young winner, is 10-6 with a 3.08 ERA in 122⅔ innings. Despite a scare this week, Nick Pivetta is on track to return in late August. Joe Musgrove has not pitched at all this season after Tommy John surgery.

If the Padres reach October, it was the trade deadline that did it. If they don’t, Preller emptied what was left of the farm system for nothing.

Three teams in the same division had the same problem. The Red Sox, Yankees and Rays needed catching at the deadline. Boston paid a high ransom, the Yankees struck out completely and the Rays found the fix without breaking the bank.

Tampa Bay catchers had hit .267/.320/.381 with 38 RBI all year. Hicks came over from Miami with 62 all by himself. He hit .282 with 14 home runs and had a .795 OPS in 101 games for the Marlins. He is one of the six best hitting catchers in baseball. He has struck out 39 times.

He hit a grand slam in his first game as a Ray, the first by anyone in the organization this season. He also caught 7⅓ scoreless innings from the bullpen in an 11-inning win.

The cost was Brayden Taylor, Jacob Kisting and Adrian Santana, the Rays’ 16th, 22nd and 23rd prospects. No one from the top 10. Hicks comes with four and a half more years of club control.

The risk was obvious. Pittsburgh is 57-58, three and a half games back of Arizona, and lost Mitch Keller for the season to a teres major injury on deadline day.

The Pirates made four separate deals over three days and replaced an entire bullpen that ranked in the bottom half of baseball and had blown 19 saves. In a short series, a manager rides his best two or three arms almost every night.

Weaver is the one who makes this matter. He went 2-1 with a 1.84 ERA in 42 appearances for the Mets, holding hitters to a .162 average with a 0.82 WHIP, and he saved four games with a 1.76 ERA for the Yankees in the 2024 postseason. The other three are bets on what they used to be. Doval led the National League in saves in 2023, but struggled with the Yankees. Yates is 39 and carries a 3.95 ERA and Bachar is at 3.84.

Ben Cherrington spent on a team that has to climb over three clubs to matter, and he bought volume rather than certainty. If Pittsburgh gets there, it was a smart buy.

Chicago was one of seven clubs linked to Skubal before the deadline. When it was obvious that Skubal wasn’t heading to the Northside, Jed Hoyer bought three arms, including two starters. Neither is a sure thing.

Gausman is 5-10 with a 4.38 ERA in 23 starts. The underlying numbers are slightly better with an expected ERA of 3.95 and a FIP of 3.50, all well below his ERA. They line up with his 2025 numbers and that is what the Cubs are betting on. He starts Friday in Kansas City.

Holmes fractured his fibula on May 15 and has not pitched since. The 2.39 ERA attached to his name comes from nine starts that ended three months ago. The Cubs will see what they are getting Saturday.

Zeferjahn, the reliever, is actually the sure thing here. He strikes out 13 hitters per nine innings and threw a scoreless inning in his debut.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY Sports: Forget Tarik Skubal. These MLB trade deadline deals will actually decide October.

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Forget Tarik Skubal. These MLB trade deadline deals will actually decide October.

By News RoomAugust 6, 2026

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