WASHINGTON — The go-ahead run was driven home on a 58.2 mph ground ball. Victory was preserved only when the All-Star closer made a rare two-inning appearance. A happy flight back to Canada ensued, but the runway to it was bumpy.
It might be oversimplifying matters to say the 2026 Toronto Blue Jays can be summed up in a 5-2 victory over the Washington Nationals on Wednesday, July 29, a conquest that more than one player described as “grindy.”
Then again, sometimes a smaller scene within a vaster canvas tells an entire story.
With just three games remaining before Major League Baseball’s Aug. 3 trade deadline, the Blue Jays are still riddled with an identity crisis.
In name, they are the defending American League champions, returning with a different but highly similar team.
By record, they are just 50-59, maddeningly inconsistent given the great expectations that greeted this season.
On the balance sheet, they continue drawing overflow crowds from across Canada to Rogers Centre – yet their superstar slugger has yet to hit a home run there this season.
Kevin Gausman has struck out 123 batters in 121 2/3 innings this season for the Blue Jays.
And according to the AL standings, they are just five games out of a wild card berth, albeit with six teams to vault to get into playoff position.
It is an unenviable predicament, one that the Blue Jays of a year ago could’ve scarcely imagined when they won 94 games and the AL East, performed brilliantly and brazenly through the playoffs all the way to World Series Game 7, where their hearts were ripped out by the Los Angeles Dodgers two outs shy of a championship.
Little did they know something even tougher was around the corner.
“It just came easier last year,” reliever Jeff Hoffman tells USA TODAY Sports. “It’s a very similar group to last year, and it was so easy. It wasn’t like, ‘Oh, we have to fight to get to this identity as a team.’ It was just us.
“This year, it feels like it’s a little bit of a battle to be us.”
Now, the team searching for something resembling its old self could be breaking up. Baseball orthodoxy says the 12th – place team in a league where only six reach the playoffs should sell off assets and plan for a brighter day.
Yet a variety of factors could conspire to make these Blue Jays different. At least the fellows in the clubhouse hope so.
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
1. Luis Arraez, 2B, Giants There he is, the perfect trade deadline candidate: A man on an expiring contract playing for a terrible team and enjoying a career year. What’s not to love? While Arraez noted he would not like to move off second base after doggedly improving to Gold Glove caliber this year, his tune might change once he realizes he has plenty of equity to take into the offseason. The three-time batting champ has, thanks to his viability at second, amassed 3.1 WAR and has a 136 adjusted OPS despite just four homers. Immediate lineup punch for a team in need.
(Steven Bisig, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
1. Luis Arraez, 2B, Giants There he is, the perfect trade deadline candidate: A man on an expiring contract playing for a terrible team and enjoying a career year. What’s not to love? While Arraez noted he would not like to move off second base after doggedly improving to Gold Glove caliber this year, his tune might change once he realizes he has plenty of equity to take into the offseason. The three-time batting champ has, thanks to his viability at second, amassed 3.1 WAR and has a 136 adjusted OPS despite just four homers. Immediate lineup punch for a team in need.
(Steven Bisig, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
2. Luke Weaver, RP, Mets Since June 1, Weaver has given up two hits and zero earned runs across 14 appearances, with a 19-3 strikeout walk ratio. He served as Yankees closer all the way through the 2024 World Series and can fill any role in a club’s bullpen. At $8 million this year and $11 million in 2027, he’s a reasonable get. The only question is whether the Mets will want to hang on to him for their hoped-for 2027 renaissance.
(Michael McLoone, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
3. Robbie Ray, SP, Giants It’s been five years since Ray struck out 248 and won the AL Cy Young Award; now, he’s averaging just 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. But the man posted a 3.38 first-half ERA and had two starts of eight scoreless innings. And a 41-55 team went 12-7 in his starts. Perfect lefty starter rental.
(Dustin Bradford, Getty Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
4. Michael Wacha, SP, Royals If not for his limited no-trade protection, Wacha might top this list, given the Royals’ 38-59 record and his All-Star season. Simply, no one’s getting deeper into games – and with a 1.19 WHIP – than Wacha, who is guaranteed a reasonable $15 million in 2027.
(Denny Medley, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
5. Mason Miller, RP, Padres Volatile one, this. The Padres remain a sellout machine and are just 3½ games out of a wild card spot. And a pending sale of the club should be finalized soon. From an “optics” standpoint, not the best time to trade the most dominant closer in baseball. But AJ Preller usually has five or six next steps in mind when he does a deal, and Miller would still fetch a significant return – perhaps better than the Padres having to deal top prospect Leo DeVries to the A’s to get him.
(Rhona Wise, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
6. Tyler Stephenson, C, Reds Definitely checks the “his team will be sellers” and “he’s a pending free agent” boxes. Ty Steve has just six homers and an 88 adjusted OPS this season but did smack 19 homers last year and would bring far more offensive upside than your typical catcher on the move at the deadline.
(Dustin Bradford, Getty Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
7. Foster Griffin, SP, Nationals Another tricky one. Griffin has been the biggest coup for the new-look Nationals front office, unleashing his eight-pitch mix on hitters after three years in Japan and winning 10 games with a 2.77 ERA, earning a most unlikely All-Star nod. Even more surprising: The Nationals were near or above .500 most of the first half, generating some buzz that they might actually buy at the deadline. But they hit the break coming off a sweep at the hands of the Yankees, and reality might further intrude these next three weeks. Trading Griffin would allow the Nats to split the baby, in a sense: Getting back a potentially very good return for a difference-making lefty, while holding on to All-Star shortstop CJ Abrams and not further depressing a fan base that’s lived through six consecutive losing seasons.
(Brad Mills, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
8. Jake McCarthy, OF, Rockies Dealing McCarthy would fulfill a successful first stage for the Paul DePodesta Regime: Collecting veterans, pumping their trade value and getting assets in return. Never mind Coors Field, McCarthy’s adjusted OPS is 23% above league average and offers significant value as a lefty bat who’s manned all three outfield spots this season.
(Dustin Bradford, Getty Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
9. Tarik Skubal, SP, Tigers Here’s how the Tigers start the second half: At Angels, at Cubs, Royals, Orioles and then a trip to Yolo County to face the Athletics just before the deadline. A nice formula to jump right back in the race and thus decrease the likelihood Skubal gets dealt. It doesn’t hurt that the Tigers have a pair of races to attack – the AL Central (6½ out) and wild card (3½ out).
(Rick Osentoski, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
10. Eduardo Rodriguez, SP, Diamondbacks A few hurdles here: Arizona must further fade from contention. Rodriguez, fresh off an All-Star appearance, can block trades to 10 teams. And he’s had a good first half yet is still owed $19 million in 2027, and a $17 million 2028 option can vest after just 36 more innings pitched this year. A lot of what-ifs for a pitcher often wracked by injury, but Rodriguez is throwing the ball very well right now and could make a postseason difference for somebody, perhaps if Arizona kicks in a little cash for ‘27.
(Rick Scuteri, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
11. Dustin May, SP, Cardinals A pretty low-risk add for a contender, May nearly no-hit the Padres, then had a pair of blow-up starts, but he’s essentially providing a quality start (4.55 ERA) out of his spot in St. Louis’ rotation. Not the flame-throwing prodigy once in the Dodgers’ system, but May is more reliable now and is owed only a $500,000 buyout after this season.
(Rick Scuteri, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
12. Devin Williams, RP, Mets He hasn’t been great this year but performed serviceably of late, with six saves in his past eight chances and a 3.07 ERA. Not great, and then he’s owed $30 million the next two seasons. Yet just imagine how many clubs will be seeking competent bullpen help.
(Dale Zanine, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
13. Mickey Moniak, OF, Rockies The Rockies’ 1A outfield trade chip behind McCarthy, Moniak offers less defense but decent pop from the left side, with 15 homers in just 209 at-bats.
(Dustin Bradford, Getty Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
14. Lars Nootbaar, OF, Cardinals Nootbaar wasn’t a part of the Cardinals’ surprise early season surge in this supposed rebuilding year, missing the first 60 games after offseason surgery on his heels. And he’s been fine in his return, OPS-ing .778 as he gets up to speed. But Nootbaar already doesn’t play against lefties, and as a free agent after 2027, he doesn’t necessarily fit the Cardinals’ timeline for earnest contention. He’d be a nice clubhouse and on-field addition for a club seeking a lefty-swinging outfielder, and the Cardinals could both open up plate appearances for younger players and still try to contend by dealing him.
(Jeff Curry, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
15. Bo Bichette, INF, Mets Let’s be up front about this: Bichette has a full no-trade clause, giving him control over basically every lever in the three-year, $142 million deal he signed with New York, a pact that includes opt-outs in 2027 and 2028. Yep, he’s in a great spot: Hit the market again next winter or collect $42 million after a season in which he’s produced an 88 adjusted OPS and a .300 OBP. So why would a team acquire him? Well, the dude can still rake and given a fresh start could go win someone a World Series. But so many what-ifs: Bichette green-lighting a deal, and a team willing to take on a potentially huge salary the following two seasons. The upside: Bichette’s still a really great hitter in a league with few of them.
(Jeff Hanisch, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
16. Spencer Steer, 1B, Reds After an uneven first half (he batted .159 with a .629 OPS in June), Steer has surged nicely to bump his home run total to 14 and OPS to .749. The Reds are one of just a few sellers and Steer’s multi-positional magic will be a nice selling point to contenders.
(Isaiah J. Downing, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
17. Peter Lambert, SP, Astros A really nice find for the Astros after Lambert spent 2025 in Tokyo with the Yakult Swallows, he kept their rotation afloat the entire first half, with a 3.14 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over 15 starts. For now, Houston is intent on adding but come Aug. 3, the Astros could be staring at too high a climb for either division or wild card. Lambert can help someone immediately.
(Troy Taormina, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
18. Luis Garcia, 1B-2B-DH, Nationals The above caveats with Griffin largely also apply to Garcia, though he has one more year before free agency, potentially enhancing his value. Garcia’s slow rise with the Nationals finally gave way to a career year, with 20 homers and an .871 OPS, justifying his move to first base. Would be a nice stealthy power bat for a contender to add, and a great sell-high scenario for Washington.
(Christopher Hanewinckel, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
19. Isaac Collins, OF, Royals He was a nice cog in the Brewers’ NLCS club last year and then got dealt to the Royals, where he’s been perfectly fine (five homers, .345 OBP, 103 adjusted OPS). Yeah, that’s kind of what you get with Collins, but a competent switch-hitting outfielder should have several teams (Phillies, anyone?) interested.
(Gregory Shamus, Getty Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
20. Jonathan Loaisiga, RP, Diamondbacks The former Yankee late-inning guy has, after three injury-wracked seasons, found his groove again in the desert, posting a 0.99 WHIP even as his strikeouts per nine innings (6.3) is far off his 2021 peak (8.8) If the D-backs collapse, closer Paul Sewald should be available too, but his 4.34 FIP is far inferior to Loaisiga’s 2.78.
(Anna Carrington, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
21. JJ Bleday, OF, Reds Does Cincinnati buy Bleday’s breakout and view him as a key part of their future? He has two more seasons before free agency, and perhaps the Reds believe in his massive jump in OBP (.294 to .350) and slimmed-down strikeout rate (36.9% to 28%). Conversely, after Bleday hit 16 first-half homers, perhaps this is the ultimate sell-high scenario.
(Andy Lyons, Getty Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
22. Jack Flaherty, SP, Tigers The usual qualifiers that apply to Skubal play here, too. Flaherty didn’t look like he’d have much trade value, his ERA at 5.81 through 12 starts, but he’s figured it out, with a 2.12 ERA and 34-10 strikeout-walk ratio in his past six outings.
(Matt Marton, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
23. JT Brubaker, RP, Giants Hard to believe there’s anything redeemable from the rancid Giants bullpen, but Brubaker has a 2.87 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, though he doesn’t miss many bats. Club could silently score PR points with its base by dealing one of the No-Pride Four.
(Robert Edwards, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
24. Michael Soroka, SP, Diamondbacks He hasn’t made more than 17 starts since 2019, but perhaps Soroka’s major health issues are finally behind him. He was just fine through 15 starts in Arizona, posting a 1.09 WHIP. Making just $7.5 million on an expiring contract, so he’s far more easily tradeable than the All-Star Rodriguez.
(D. Ross Cameron, Imagn Images)
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Ranking the top 25 MLB trade deadline targets for 2026
25. Ty France, 1B, Padres Signed just as free agency began, France has once again emerged as a handy right-handed bat, with 11 homers and an .815 OPS. He won’t play much else than first these days – he’s logged five innings at third base this season – but got a touch of World Series experience with Toronto last season.
(Denny Medley, Imagn Images)
‘I wouldn’t be surprised if we added’
George Springer and Kevin Gausman were the free agent bell cows for this generation of Blue Jays, signing $150 million and $110 million deals in 2021 and 2022, respectively. Now, both are on expiring contracts, with some control over their futures.
Springer, with more than 10 years’ service time and five in Toronto, can block any trade, and Gausman can block trades to eight teams. Both are in wait-and-see mode and, by many accounts, so too is the Toronto front office.
The baseball industry widely expects this deadline to pick up in the last possible hours, due to the preponderance of contenders and the uncertainty facing many teams in the final days. And the Blue Jays have several complex factors to consider.
Gausman’s been here before, dealt in a deadline deal from Baltimore to Atlanta eight years ago, before he realized superstardom.
“I’ve been doing this long enough to know you never really know what will happen,” says Gausman, who has pondered retirement after this season, even as he still strikes out more than a batter an inning, and has a 4.51 ERA in an AL-best 22 starts. “A couple days that could possibly be crazy. Everybody can kind of play GM and speculate who’s going to add and not add.
“I wouldn’t be surprised if we added.”
Say, what?
If nothing else, Blue Jays fans have earned as much. They’ve drawn at least 40,000 fans for 43 of their 56 home dates, with no crowd smaller than 35,000 as a $500 million Rogers Centre renovation makes the old yard a destination.
Parent company Rogers Communications has been thrilled with baseball revenue, according to earnings calls, showing a significant return on investing in the on-field product.
“We helped the Blue Jays stock a lot last year. I know that,” says Gausman. “Viewership’s up and I think a lot of people kind of jumped on the bandwagon last year – and they’ve stayed. For good reason – we have a fun, exciting team to watch and the majority are back.
“We’ve always drawn exceptionally well at home, but with the new expansion to the stadium, the bars – it’s not just about the game, whereas before it was. Now it’s a partylike, social thing.
“More people are coming and more from around Canada are traveling to Toronto, to see the Blue Jays. I think it has been good for everybody.”
Yet through 109 games, the on-field product has yet to match the fervor.
Jeff Hoffman: ‘I expect to be here’
Perhaps this year was cursed from the jump, when starter Shane Bieber was shut down with arm fatigue, and promising right-hander Cody Ponce tore his ACL three innings into his Blue Jays debut after pitching in Japan.
A loss that hit on an everyday basis was All-Star catcher Alejandro Kirk’s fractured and dislocated thumb, which required surgery in April. He missed 62 games.
His absence certainly had a downward effect on Guerrero, who perhaps tried to compensate for the hitting savant’s absence. Yet that still can’t fully explain Guerrero’s six home runs and career-low .702 OPS.
Not that it’s stopped him from playing hard; Guerrero can still be seen hustling singles into doubles, diving headfirst with abandon and, the other night, suffering a hamstring hiccup when he busted it to first beating out an infield single.
But Guerrero’s woes are just part of the suboptimal sequencing dogging the Blue Jays.
“We’ve been kind of fighting to find that traction as a group, it seems like,” says Hoffman, who yielded Miguel Rojas’s game-tying ninth-inning homer in World Series Game 7, got off to a rough start this season but has been dominant in his last 18 outings.
“It just hasn’t lined up for us. It’s the whole, collective process of everything, from pregame to batting practice to team dinners – all that stuff, that all matters. It’s just been difficult to get on a little bit of a roll.
“Maybe we’ll do that.”
Hoffman blew three saves in his first nine appearances, ceding closer duties to Louis Varland, but has thrived in a set-up role, with a 0.96 ERA over his last 19 games as he’s leaned even more heavily on his elite slider. His run of excellence makes him an attractive trade option for a contender, but Hoffman says he expects to be with Toronto for the duration of his contract, which runs through next season when he’s owed $11 million.
“It’s there, obviously. It’s no secret,” says Hoffman of the deadline. “Your head can’t be anywhere else. While you’re a part of the Blue Jays, you’re committed to the Blue Jays and that’s it. I love it here. I expect to be here for the duration of my contract.
“This is one of the best organizations in the league. Obviously, it sucks that we’re in this position. But it is what it is. We just gotta take it day by day and see what happens.”
It don’t come easy
It helps when right-hander Trey Yesavage locks in the form that made him a postseason darling a year ago. Wednesday, against Washington’s best-in-class offense, he turned in one of his finest starts of the year – 6 ⅔ innings, three hits, one earned run.
It ended a bleak stretch where he gave up 10 earned runs in three starts, failing to get out of the second inning in one of them.
“I needed this. And the guys needed this,” says Yesavage.
Not that it was easy. The Blue Jays were shut out into the sixth inning, grabbed a 2-1 lead on Daulton Varsho’s RBI infield squibber and finally established some breathing room with a three-run eighth – after which Varland entered for a six-out save, two runners on, and stranded both of them.
It was arduous, and very 2026.
“At the end of the day, you gotta find a way to win, whether it’s one of those easy ones or a hard one. It just seems like we have a lot of hard ones these days,” says All-Star infielder Ernie Clement, who tied the game 1-1 with a sixth-inning double.
“We’ll take any one we can get.”
Gausman, the 35-year-old veteran of 14 seasons, believes that’s just the way it’s going to be in the big leagues. Liberal revenue sharing and a cycle of teams not tanking has led to nearly two dozen teams still clinging to contention as July turns to August.
As the Blue Jays won 94 games a year ago, the Chicago White Sox were completing their third consecutive 100-loss season. Now, the White Sox lead the AL Central.
“Unfortunately, that easy part is never going to come anymore. Which is great for baseball,” says Gausman. “The collective competitive balance in the game right now is really good.
“We’re seeing teams like the White Sox and Pirates, a handful of teams every year surprising everybody.”
A few years back, you might have placed the Jays in that bucket. Yet the arrival of Guerrero and since-departed Bo Bichette and significant investments in Gausman, Springer and now ace Dylan Cease has made Toronto something of a powerhouse.
Even if they haven’t played like it. They can only hope they’ve won enough to stay together beyond the weekend, challenging as it’s been.
“I love this group,” says Clement. “I would love to see the chance to keep grinding with these guys and try to get on a roll.”
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: AL champs battled identity crisis all year. Will deadline break them up?