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Home»Basketball»2026 NBA mock draft: AI predicts all 30 first-round picks
Basketball

2026 NBA mock draft: AI predicts all 30 first-round picks

News RoomBy News RoomJune 4, 2026No Comments29 Mins Read
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2026 NBA mock draft: AI predicts all 30 first-round picks

The 2026 NBA Draft is less than three weeks away, and sifting through the speculation is especially intriguing this year.

There’s a consensus top four of AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, Cameron Boozer and Caleb Wilson, but no consensus on what order in which they will be chosen. Dybantsa remains the trendy pick to go No. 1 in recent mock draft updates, but there is little agreement on the pecking order for the group of guards expected to be picked beginning as early as the fifth pick in the first round. Potential choices diverge even more from there now that the withdrawal deadline for prospects to return to college has passed.

AI is trying to figure out what’s what just like the humans that feed its information capabilities, based on the latest mock draft curated by USA TODAY Sports using Microsoft Copilot’s artificial intelligence chatbot. Though its top-four stayed the same, the rest of the first round is almost completely different from its analysis last month after the conclusion of the NBA draft scouting combine. It’s a reflection of the changing perception of draft experts as workouts continue and new intel emerges.

Here’s a breakdown of Microsoft Copilot AI’s latest 2026 NBA mock draft, including the chatbot’s reasoning for making each first-round pick:

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2025: Cooper Flagg, Dallas Mavericks

(Brad Penner, Imagn Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2025: Cooper Flagg, Dallas Mavericks

(Brad Penner, Imagn Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2024: Zaccharie Risacher, Atlanta Hawks

(Brad Penner, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2023: Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio Spurs

(Wendell Cruz, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2022: Paolo Banchero, Orlando Magic

(Brad Penner, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2021: Cade Cunningham, Detroit Pistons

(Brad Penner, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2020: Anthony Edwards, Minnesota Timberwolves

(Stephen Lew, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2019: Zion Williamson, New Orleans Pelicans

(Brad Penner, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2018: Deandre Ayton, Phoenix Suns

(Brad Penner, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2017: Markelle Fultz, Philadelphia 76ers

(Brad Penner, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2016: Ben Simmons, Philadelphia 76ers

(Brad Penner, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2015: Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves

(Brad Penner, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2014: Andrew Wiggins, Cleveland Cavaliers (traded two months later to Minnesota Timberwolves)

(Brad Penner, USA TODAY Sports)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2011: Kyrie Irving, Cleveland Cavaliers

(Mike Stobe, Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2010: John Wall, Washington Wizards

(Andrew Weber, US PRESSWIRE)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2007: Greg Oden, Portland Trail Blazers

(Robert Deutsch, USA TODAY)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2002: Yao Ming, Houston Rockets

(LUCY NICHOLSON, AFP via Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

2000: Kenyon Martin, New Jersey Nets

(Brett Hansbauer, US PRESSWIRE)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

1998: Michael Olowokandi, Los Angeles Clippers

(Jed Jacobsohn, Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

1997: Tim Duncan, San Antonio Spurs

(TOM MIHALEK, AFP via Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

1996: Allen Iverson, Philadelphia 76ers

(TOM MIHALEK, AFP via Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

1995: Joe Smith, Golden State Warriors

(Elsa, Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

1994: Glenn Robinson, Milwaukee Bucks

(Jonathan Daniel, Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

1993: Chris Webber, Golden State Warriors

(Stephen Dunn, Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

1992: Shaquille O’Neal, Orlando Magic

(DOUG COLLIER, AFP via Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

1991: Larry Johnson, Charlotte Hornets

(Jonathan Daniel, Getty Images)

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NBA draft No. 1 picks since 1990: From Derrick Coleman to Cooper Flagg

1990: Derrick Coleman, New Jersey Nets

(Jonathan Daniel, Getty Images)

HIGH SCHOOL: How projected NBA draft first-round picks ranked as recruits

2026 NBA mock draft by USA TODAY Sports

You can compare AI’s picks to the latest USA TODAY 2026 NBA mock draft by clicking here.

2026 NBA mock draft: AI picks first round after scouting combine

USA TODAY Sports asked Microsoft Copilot AI to generate a mock draft for the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft featuring only players eligible this year now that the NBA draft withdrawl deadline passed for college players. The chatbot was asked to base its selections on current mock drafts from reputable websites, as well as the latest intel on team needs, prospect analysis and potential draft withdrawals.

Note: AI models still have issues with accuracy as seen in the mock draft below. Of particular note, Microsoft Copilot needed additional prompts after several picks were inaccurately assigned to teams. The average mock draft pick referenced for each player was compiled by USA TODAY Sports using 12 of the latest mock drafts from national websites around the country, including USA TODAY.

  • Average mock draft pick: 1

  • AI analysis: “A franchise devoid of elite wing creation takes the class’s best scoring forward archetype to anchor its rebuild.”

2. Utah Jazz: Darryn Peterson, Kansas

  • Average mock draft pick: 2

  • AI analysis: “Utah secures a jumbo lead guard who can scale alongside or beyond its current young backcourt.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 3

  • AI analysis: “Memphis bets on elite production and feel to stabilize its frontcourt with a high-floor offensive hub.”

4. Chicago Bulls: Caleb Wilson, North Carolina

  • Average mock draft pick: 4

  • AI analysis: “Chicago adds a mobile, two-way forward who can defend multiple positions and elevate lineup versatility.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 7

  • AI analysis: “With an aging core, L.A. lands a dynamic shot creator to begin transitioning toward its next offensive engine.”

6. Brooklyn Nets: Mikel Brown Jr., Louisville

  • Average mock draft pick: 7

  • AI analysis: “Brooklyn prioritizes pure scoring upside and perimeter creation for a roster still searching for a centerpiece.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 7

  • AI analysis: “Sacramento adds a combo guard who can both initiate offense and space the floor next to its stars.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 7

  • AI analysis: “Atlanta targets a true lead guard to fill its post–Trae Young offensive void, prioritizing pace control and primary creation.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 9

  • AI analysis: “Dallas pairs Cooper Flagg with a versatile scoring guard who can handle, create, and space the floor, giving its new franchise centerpiece a dynamic perimeter partner to grow alongside.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 11

  • AI analysis: “Milwaukee injects youth and athleticism into its wing rotation with a high-upside developmental forward.”

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See NBA mock draft first‑round projections

1. Washington Wizards: AJ Dybantsa
TEAM: BYU | POSITION: Wing | BORN: Massachusetts | HEIGHT: 6-9 | DRAFT AGE: 19 – The Wizards have the second-worst offense in the NBA and could instantly inject life into their offense by selecting AJ Dybantsa, the NCAA scoring champion and Julius Erving Award winner. He emphasized that point during his one game for BYU in March Madness, putting up 35 points and 10 rebounds. The Big 12 Rookie of the Year led the nation in unassisted points scored (680) by a wide margin this season, per CBB Analytics. The emerging star also had 40 points against Kansas State in the Big 12 Tournament on March 10 and averaged 28.8 points per game over his final 17 appearances.

(Troy Wayrynen, Imagn Images)

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1. Washington Wizards: AJ Dybantsa
TEAM: BYU | POSITION: Wing | BORN: Massachusetts | HEIGHT: 6-9 | DRAFT AGE: 19 – The Wizards have the second-worst offense in the NBA and could instantly inject life into their offense by selecting AJ Dybantsa, the NCAA scoring champion and Julius Erving Award winner. He emphasized that point during his one game for BYU in March Madness, putting up 35 points and 10 rebounds. The Big 12 Rookie of the Year led the nation in unassisted points scored (680) by a wide margin this season, per CBB Analytics. The emerging star also had 40 points against Kansas State in the Big 12 Tournament on March 10 and averaged 28.8 points per game over his final 17 appearances.

(Troy Wayrynen, Imagn Images)

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2. Indiana Pacers: Cameron Boozer
TEAM: Duke | POSITION: Forward | BORN: Florida | HEIGHT: 6-9 | DRAFT AGE: 18 – Duke freshman Cameron Boozer was dominant during his first NCAA season, earning national collegiate player of the year. According to NBA insider Jake Fischer, rival teams believe Boozer would be the “preferred selection” for the Pacers because of his “potential fit” alongside Pascal Siakam and Ivica Zubac. The ACC Player of the Year isnÕt a human highlight reel, but he offers consistency and a diverse, impactful skill set. More importantly, he can bring a culture of winning after multiple championships in high school and an elite Duke team that made it to the Sweet 16 before a heartbreaking last-second loss.

(Melina Myers, Imagn Images)

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3. Brooklyn Nets: Darryn Peterson
TEAM: Kansas POSITION: Guard BORN: Ohio HEIGHT: 6-5 DRAFT AGE: 19 While he is no longer perceived as the near-certain No. 1 overall pick that he once was due to relative inconsistency and injury issues, many scouts and evaluators feel that Darryn Peterson is the most talented player in this class. The Nets have the worst offense in the NBA and could change the course of the franchise by selecting Peterson. It is incredibly rare to find a prospect who is able to score as efficiently as Peterson did while holding a usage rate as high as his was this season.

(Jay Biggerstaff, Imagn Images)

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4. Utah Jazz: Kingston Flemings
TEAM: Houston POSITION: Guard BORN: Texas HEIGHT: 6-4 DRAFT AGE: 19 While most project North Carolina freshman Caleb Wilson at No. 4 overall, he may not fit in UtahÕs crowded front court. Meanwhile, the Jazz currently have the worst defensive rating in the Western Conference and could potentially improve that by selecting Houston freshman Kingston Flemings. The All-Big 12 guard has several games when he has recorded at least three steals, notching eight against Arizona State earlier this season. He scored 42 points against No. 11 Texas Tech on Jan. 24. He helped lead Houston to the Sweet 16, and with highs as high as his were this season, it will not take long for him to hear his name called on draft night.

(Alonzo Adams, Imagn Images)

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5. Sacramento Kings: Caleb Wilson
TEAM: North Carolina POSITION: Big BORN: Georgia HEIGHT: 6-10 DRAFT AGE: 19 The Kings need the best player available, and that is North Carolina freshman Caleb Wilson, who unfortunately missed the NCAA Tournament with a broken thumb. Wilson, who also suffered a hand fracture earlier in the season, did more than enough to earn this placement, though. According to Bart Torvik, before the injury the All-ACC big man led the nation with 67 dunks recorded. He was also the only player under 20 years old to reach thresholds of 2.5 percent for both block and steal percentage while also notching a defensive rebound percentage above 20.0 percent.

(Bob Donnan, Bob Donnan-Imagn Images)

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6. Atlanta Hawks (via Pelicans): Darius Acuff Jr.
TEAM: Arkansas POSITION: Guard BORN: Michigan HEIGHT: 6-3 DRAFT AGE: 19 The Hawks could use a guard like Arkansas freshman Darius Acuff Jr. after trading away Trae Young, using a first-round pick they received from the Pelicans. En route to the Sweet 16, the SEC Player of the Year proved he is one of the most enticing offensive prospects in recent memory. Acuff Jr. led the nation for points created (1,394) either by himself or through an assist, per CBB Analytics. He led freshmen for field goals made in transition (72) and field goals made from both the left and right side of the court. He was among the freshmen leaders in alley-oop assists (17) as well. He has significant defensive deficiencies but playing alongside Dyson Daniels would help cover that problem.

(Troy Wayrynen, Imagn Images)

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7. Dallas Mavericks: Keaton Wagler
TEAM: Illinois POSITION: Wing BORN: Kansas HEIGHT: 6-6 DRAFT AGE: 19 The Mavericks have the worst offensive rating in the Western Conference and could benefit from a player like Illinois standout Keaton Wagler. The 19-year-old guard played a crucial role to help the Fighting Illini earn a spot in the Final Four, where he recorded 20 points and 8 rebounds against UConn in the national semifinals. The freshman also dropped 25 points in the Elite Eight. He projects as one of the best 3-point shooters in this class, shooting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc as a freshman. while connecting on as many as nine 3-pointers in a game. The Big Ten Rookie of the Year has athletic limitations but is a cerebral basketball player who is also averaging 5.1 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game this season.

(Christine Tannous, IndyStar via USA TODAY NETWORK)

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8. Memphis Grizzlies: Yaxel Lendeborg
TEAM: Michigan POSITION: Forward BORN: New Jersey HEIGHT: 6-9 DRAFT AGE: 23 The Grizzlies could add to their rebuilding core after trading away Jaren Jackson Jr. by selecting Yaxel Lendeborg, who has shown on his way to the menÕs collegiate national championship game that he is perhaps the most NBA-ready player in this draft class. The Big Ten Player of the Year offers a bit of everything on both sides of the ball and has silenced skeptics who were unsure how his game would scale after transferring from mid-major UAB to high-major Michigan. The Grizzlies have drafted players with similar trajectories like Jaylen Wells and Cedric Coward.

(Robert Deutsch, Imagn Images)

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9. Chicago Bulls: Brayden Burries
TEAM: Arizona POSITION: Guard BORN: California HEIGHT: 6-4 DRAFT AGE: 20 Arizona freshman Brayden Burries was an exciting prospect to watch during the Big Dance, making it all the way to the Final Four and dropping 23 points against Arkansas. He had two breakout games in January, which helped solidify his draft stock. But the All-Big 12 guard continued to display his tantalizing talent, scoring 31 points with seven rebounds and five steals against Colorado on March 7 and 20 points with 12 rebounds and five assists during a victory against No. 14 Kansas on Feb. 28. He has proven productivity, and he is able to defend, relocate, move the ball and make 3-pointers off the dribble. Burries would make a great pick for whatever new executives take over the front office for the Bulls.

(Bob Donnan, Imagn Images)

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10. Milwaukee Bucks: Mikel Brown Jr.
TEAM: Louisville POSITION: Guard BORN: Florida HEIGHT: 6-5 DRAFT AGE: 20 The Milwaukee Bucks need to simply draft the best player available with whatever pick they have and will likely keep Louisville floor general Mikel Brown Jr. highlighted on their big board. The All-ACC guard has deep shooting range and was among the freshmen leaders in 3-pointers made from beyond 25 feet (27) this year, per CBB Analytics. Brown was averaging 29.2 points per game over his last five appearances, including 45 points against NC State on Feb. 9, while hitting 10 shots from beyond the arc, before an injury on Feb. 28 forced him to miss March Madness.

(Jerome Miron, Imagn Images)

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11. Golden State Warriors: Labaron Philon
TEAM: Alabama POSITION: Guard BORN: Alabama HEIGHT: 6-4 DRAFT AGE: 20 The Warriors could still use more reliable players in the backcourt and could find a fairly compelling player in Alabama sophomore Labaron Philon. Even though the All-SEC guard was not playing at 100 percent during March Madness due to injury issues, he played well in the tournament, recording 35 points during a loss against Michigan. He also notched 29 points in his first game and 12 assists in his second. The guard averaged 22.0 points per game, and he improved his 3-point shooting from 31.5 percent as a freshman to 39.9 percent as a sophomore, while also managing 5.0 assists per game in the process.

(Nathan Ray Seebeck, Imagn Images)

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12. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Clippers): Hannes Steinbach
TEAM: Washington POSITION: Big BORN: Germany HEIGHT: 6-11 DRAFT AGE: 20 After winning the 2025 NBA Finals, the Oklahoma City Thunder are projected to add even more lottery-caliber talent in the 2026 NBA Draft. They could use it to potentially replace Isaiah Hartenstein by drafting a younger German big man: Hannes Steinbach. While his team missed the tournament, the All-Big Ten post is an instinctive rebounder with great hands, including an absurd 24 rebounds against USC on March 4. Additionally, the center is one of the more prolific pick-and-roll finishers in college basketball. He shined during the FIBA U19 World Cup, and scouts love that he is a smart basketball player who can make great reads.

(Steven Bisig, Imagn Images)

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13. Portland Trail Blazers: Nate Ament
TEAM: Tennessee POSITION: Wing BORN: Virginia HEIGHT: 6-10 DRAFT AGE: 19 After a relatively slow and inefficient start to the season, Tennessee freshman Nate Ament started to realize some of his lofty expectations. The freshman averaged 21.6 points per game, while shooting 38.9 percent on 3-pointers, during a 13-game stretch before an injury against Alabama on Feb. 28. The All-SEC forward then had 27 points (4-of-6 on 3-pointers) with eight rebounds, four assists, three blocks and a steal against Auburn on March 12. He was not as efficient during March Madness, but it will only take one team to fall in love with Ament, and that team is almost certainly picking in the lottery.

(Kamil Krzaczynski, Imagn Images)

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14. Miami Heat: Koa Peat
TEAM: Arizona POSITION: Forward BORN: Arizona HEIGHT: 6-8 DRAFT AGE: 19 The Miami Heat have drafted several prospects known for their athleticism, which means a player like Arizona forward Koa Peat will probably have some appeal to the organization. Peat is an ideal match for this franchise given his versatility as a playmaking forward. Arizona played at a significantly faster pace (3.9 extra possessions) when Peat was on the floor relative to when he was not, per CBB Analytics, which would fit very well with MiamiÕs fastest-paced offense in the NBA. The All-Big 12 forward just needs a jumper to carve out regular minutes as a high-impact pro.

(Eakin Howard, Imagn Images)

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15. Charlotte Hornets: Braylon Mullins
TEAM: Connecticut POSITION: Wing BORN: Indiana HEIGHT: 6-6 DRAFT AGE: 19 Braylon Mullins, a five-star recruit and former McDonald’s All-American, was a breakout star in the NCAA menÕs basketball tournament after hitting one of the most improbable 3-pointers in March Madness history. Mullins continued to show a winning mentality, helping the Huskies earn a spot in the national championship game. The Big East All-Freshman wing shot 40.7 percent on 3-pointers during his first 18 games in the starting lineup. He is a useful off-ball threat, which gives him an immediately practical role at the next level.

(Bob Donnan, Imagn Images)

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16. Memphis Grizzlies (via Magic): Joshua Jefferson
TEAM: Iowa State POSITION: Forward BORN: Nevada HEIGHT: 6-9 DRAFT AGE: 22 A few years ago, research indicated that the Grizzlies tend to value a few statistical similarities in their draftees: Efficient shot selection, added value beyond scoring and defensive playmaking. For the second year in a row, the Iowa State forward was an impactful dribble-pass-shoot forward who met many of the qualifications that led Memphis to find players who spent many years on their roster. The All-Big 12 forward got injured during the first round of the tournament, but Iowa State still earned a spot in the Sweet 16.

(William Purnell, Imagn Images)

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17. Toronto Raptors: Bennett Stirtz
TEAM: Iowa POSITION: Guard BORN: Missouri HEIGHT: 6-4 DRAFT AGE: 22 The Raptors could use another guard and should have Bennett Stirtz on their priority list. After transferring from Division II to a mid-major and then to a high-major program, he is at the top of the class in creating his own shot off the dribble in isolation or the pick-and-roll. The All-Big Ten guard can also finish plays from dribble handoffs. His play during March Madness, which included 24 points against Illinois and 20 points against Nebraska, earned a spot in the Elite Eight. The Raptors play at a slow pace, which would translate well for Stirtz, who did the same at Iowa.

(Julia Hansen, Iowa City Press-Citizen via USA TODAY NETWORK)

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18. Charlotte Hornets (via Suns): Jayden Quaintance
TEAM: Kentucky POSITION: Big BORN: Ohio HEIGHT: 6-9 DRAFT AGE: 18 Jayden Quaintance recorded just one start during his sophomore campaign as he recovered from a torn ACL, meniscus and fractured knee. The big man is still one of the youngest players in this class, but he has shown flashes during his time at Arizona State and Kentucky. When healthy, he is arguably the most talented defender in this draft class and could help a team that desperately needs frontcourt help, like the Hornets. But health may cause some concern for evaluators.

(Brett Davis, Imagn Images)

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19. Oklahoma City Thunder (via 76ers): Karim López
TEAM: International (Australia) POSITION: Forward BORN: Mexico HEIGHT: 6-8 DRAFT AGE: 19 The Thunder have drafted multiple players from Australia’s NBL, including Josh Giddey. They could dip into this well again by selecting Karim López with their pick from the Philadelphia 76ers. While the Mexican-born forward still needs some development, he is physically gifted and widely seen as the top prospect from this class currently playing overseas. He exploded for 32 points (11-of-13 FG) with eight rebounds, two blocks and one steal against Melbourne on Jan. 30. Even if he is a draft-and-stash player, that is ideal for a team with a rotation as crowded as the Thunder.

(Morgan Hancock, Getty Images)

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20. San Antonio Spurs (via Hawks): Aday Mara
TEAM: Michigan POSITION: Big BORN: Spain HEIGHT: 7-3 DRAFT AGE: 21 After leading his team to the NCAA championship game, Michigan center Aday Mara became one of the prospects who helped himself the most during March Madness. The 7-foot-3 big man, who transferred from UCLA, is a fantastic rim protector. Opponents only attempted 20.9 percent of their field goals at the rim when the Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year was on the court, per CBB Analytics, which ranks near lowest among all NCAA players. He can also pass well, finding some awesome outlet looks in transition and at the rim. Especially in short spurts, Mara would make an excellent backup to Victor Wembanyama.

(Trevor Ruszkowski, Imagn Images)

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21. Detroit Pistons (via Timberwolves): Christian Anderson
TEAM: Texas Tech POSITION: Guard BORN: Georgia HEIGHT: 6-3 DRAFT AGE: 20 While they are one of the best teams in the league this season, the Pistons are still struggling from the perimeter and could use more talented 3-point shooters on their roster. A simple fix would be drafting Texas Tech sophomore Christian Anderson, who had the most unassisted 3-pointers (61) among high-major players, per CBB Analytics. After moving from the two-guard to point guard, the All-Big 12 Most Improved Player recorded more than twice as many assists per 100 possessions as a sophomore compared to when he was a freshman.

(Nathan Ray Seebeck, Imagn Images)

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22. New York Knicks: Chris Cenac Jr. TEAM: Houston POSITION: Big BORN: Louisiana HEIGHT: 6-11 DRAFT AGE: 19 It was an up-and-down season for former five-star recruit and McDonald’s All-American Chris Cenac Jr. at Houston. While he still remains a candidate to return to college and improve his draft stock for the 2027 NBA Draft, Cenac Jr. got hot at the perfect time. During his first game in the Big Dance, the big man recorded a season-high 18 rebounds, while also knocking down a 3-pointer and grabbing a steal. Then in the Round of 32, he showed off more scoring with some impressive cuts to the basket, dropping 17 points against Texas A&M. He was quieter in the Sweet 16 but still managed 10 rebounds.

(Alonzo Adams, Imagn Images)

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23. Denver Nuggets: Thomas Haugh
TEAM: Florida POSITION: Wing BORN: Pennsylvania HEIGHT: 6-9 DRAFT AGE: 22 After winning a national championship with Florida last season, Thomas Haugh was instantly regarded as one of the most interesting players who elected to return to college. The All-SEC forward had one of the top motors in the NCAA this season before an early elimination from March Madness. While he did not score efficiently in a set offense this year, he does not need the ball in his hands very often to make a difference on the floor for his team. He can serve as a glue guy for a contending team looking to win an NBA title like the Nuggets.

(Nathan Ray Seebeck, Imagn Images)

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24. Atlanta Hawks (via Cavaliers): Patrick Ngongba II
TEAM: Duke POSITION: Big BORN: Virginia HEIGHT: 6-11 DRAFT AGE: 20 Many teams could use a big man like Patrick Ngongba II, who is an above-average passer for his position. His assist rate is the highest among underclassmen listed at 6-foot-11 or taller, per Bart Torvik, and he is at the top of his game when passing to a driving perimeter player. The big man, who helped Duke earn a spot in the Elite Eight, is a big-bodied prospect who can carve out space as one of the more prolific cutters in college basketball. He is on an encouraging development track, displaying legitimate year-over-year improvement from his freshman to sophomore campaign.

(Rob Kinnan, Imagn Images)

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25. Philadelphia 76ers (via Rockets): Allen Graves
TEAM: Santa Clara POSITION: Forward BORN: Louisiana HEIGHT: 6-9 DRAFT AGE: 20 One of the most under-the-radar prospects in all of college basketball this season was Santa Clara freshman Allen Graves, who was nearly a March Madness hero. It was hard not to notice the WCC Rookie of the Year and Sixth Man of the Year after he scored 30 points with 13 rebounds, four assists and two steals Feb. 7 against Washington State. The only players under 21 years old who currently held a higher box plus-minus, via Bart Torvik, were Cameron Boozer and Caleb Wilson.

(Jeff Curry, Imagn Images)

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26. Los Angeles Lakers: Morez Johnson Jr.
TEAM: Michigan POSITION: Big BORN: Illinois HEIGHT: 6-9 DRAFT AGE: 20 Morez Johnson Jr. is one of the best two-way players in the NCAA. He is a crucial part of the Michigan identity this season, leading his team to an appearance in the NCAA championship game, and has thrived since transferring to the Wolverines from Illinois. Johnson’s shooting form at the free throw line looks good, and he scores well near the rim, especially when cutting to the basket. The former FIBA U-19 Team USA standout and All-Big Ten big man is a trustworthy defensive playmaker, too, and should find minutes at the next level.

(Eric Seals, Detroit Free Press via USA TODAY NETWORK)

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27. Boston Celtics: Cameron Carr
TEAM: Baylor POSITION: Wing BORN: Minnesota HEIGHT: 6-5 DRAFT AGE: 21 One of the players who improved his draft stock the most this season was Baylor junior Cameron Carr. The All-Big 12 wing brings athleticism and shooting and, per Bart Torvik, he was the only player to make at least 40 field goals that were dunks and more than 60 field goals that were 3-pointers this season. Baylor outscored opponents by an additional 28.5 points per 100 possessions when he was on the floor relative to when he was not, via CBB Analytics, which ranked as the fourth-most of any high-major player in the NCAA.

(Chris Jones, Imagn Images)

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28. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Pistons): Tyler Tanner
TEAM: Vanderbilt POSITION: Guard BORN: Tennessee HEIGHT: 6-0 DRAFT AGE: 20 It is unusual to find a 6-foot sophomore projected in the first round of a mock draft, but if there were ever a player who has earned that kind of praise should he decide to turn pro after this season, it’s Tyler Tanner. Despite his size, the All-SEC guard found meaningful ways to contribute on both sides of the floor. He can score efficiently, dunk, block shots, steal the ball, and he is more than serviceable as a floor general capable of earning rotation minutes for a team like the Timberwolves. Tanner could also return to school but should earn serious first-round buzz if he turns pro.

(Andrew Nelles, The Tennessean via USA TODAY NETWORK)

29 / 30

See NBA mock draft first‑round projections

29. Cleveland Cavaliers (via Spurs): Dailyn Swain
TEAM: Texas POSITION: Wing BORN: Ohio HEIGHT: 6-8 DRAFT AGE: 21 After transferring from Xavier to Texas during the offseason and then leading his team to the Sweet 16, Dailyn Swain became one of the more intriguing breakout players in college basketball. The All-SEC forward is versatile and contributed a little bit of everything for the Longhorns on both sides of the ball, scoring well both in the paint and on fastbreaks. Another element that is notably compelling is that Swain is efficient one-on-one in isolation against his defenders.

(Craig Strobeck, Imagn Images)

30 / 30

See NBA mock draft first‑round projections

30. Dallas Mavericks (via Thunder): Amari Allen
TEAM: Alabama POSITION: Wing BORN: Wisconsin HEIGHT: 6-7 DRAFT AGE: 20 Alabama’s Amari Allen is a 6-foot-7 freshman who averaged 12.9 points, 6.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists with 1.7 “stocks” (combined steals and blocks), while shooting 39.5 percent on 3-pointers on 4.8 shots per game for the Crimson Tide during SEC conference play. The SEC All-Freshman wing is a good connective piece who plays hard, cares about winning and knows how to make the right play. Despite a weak showing against Michigan in the Sweet 16, he is still someone who could earn fringe first-round consideration.

(Nathan Ray Seebeck, Imagn Images)

  • Average mock draft pick: 12

  • AI analysis: “Golden State opts for a polished, high-IQ forward who can contribute immediately in a win-now ecosystem.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 10

  • AI analysis: “OKC swings on size and skill, adding a 7-footer with defensive and playmaking upside to its long-term core.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 14

  • AI analysis: “Miami selects a tough, downhill guard whose physicality and mindset align with its developmental model.”

14. Charlotte Hornets: Karim Lopez, New Zealand Breakers (NBL)

  • Average mock draft pick: 16

  • AI analysis: “Charlotte gambles on international upside with a versatile wing who fits LaMelo Ball’s pace-and-space style.”

15. Chicago Bulls: Isaiah Evans, Duke

  • Average mock draft pick: 26 (appeared in 11/12 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Chicago doubles down on perimeter scoring with a shooter who can stretch defenses and create off movement.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 19

  • AI analysis: “Memphis reinforces its defense with a disruptive, switchable big who thrives in modern schemes.”

17. Oklahoma City Thunder: Chris Cenac, Jr., Houston

  • Average mock draft pick: 22

  • AI analysis: “Oklahoma City continues stockpiling length and athleticism with a rim-running, defensive-minded big.”

18. Charlotte Hornets: Koa Peat, Arizona

  • Average mock draft pick: 25 (appeared in 11/12 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Charlotte adds physicality and toughness with a power forward capable of balancing its finesse-heavy lineup.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 21

  • AI analysis: “Toronto secures a steady, efficient lead guard to bring structure to its evolving offensive identity.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 17

  • AI analysis: “San Antonio adds another mobile, high-feel big to complement Victor Wembanyama, leaning into jumbo, position-less frontcourt versatility.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 15

  • AI analysis: “Detroit adds a versatile wing defender who fits its identity shift toward length and two-way play.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 27 (appeared in 11/12 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Philadelphia grabs instant offense off the bench in a high-volume shooter to support its star guards.”

23. Atlanta Hawks: Allen Graves, Santa Clara

  • Average mock draft pick: 23

  • AI analysis: “Atlanta targets a high-feel forward who can connect lineups and contribute without needing heavy usage.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 20

  • AI analysis: “New York adds a switchable two-way wing with size and defensive versatility, aligning with a roster built around length, physicality, and lineup flexibility.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 26 (appeared in 11/12 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Los Angeles prioritizes frontcourt versatility with a big who can stretch the floor and fit modern spacing needs.”

26. Denver Nuggets: Sergio de Larrea, Valencia (Spain)

  • Average mock draft pick: 34 (appeared in 6/12 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Denver adds another high-IQ playmaker to sustain its ball-movement-heavy offensive ecosystem.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 32 (only appeared in 4/12 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Boston selects a proven connector whose shooting and decision-making fit seamlessly into its contender core.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 17

  • AI analysis: “Minnesota bolsters its frontcourt depth with an athletic big capable of developing into a rotation piece.”

  • Average mock draft pick: 23

  • AI analysis: “Cleveland bets on a dynamic downhill guard to add much-needed shot creation and offensive pressure.”

30. Dallas Mavericks: Luigi Suigo, Mega (Serbia)

  • Average mock draft pick: 29 (appeared in 6/12 mock drafts)

  • AI analysis: “Dallas closes the round with a long-term upside swing on a towering international big.”

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: NBA mock draft 2026: AI predicts every first round pick

Read the full article here

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