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The San Antonio Spurs can land the knockout blow against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 6.
San Antonio has a potent one-two combo, pairing Victor Wembanyama with feisty guard De’Aaron Fox.
While Fox may stand in Wemby’s lanky shadow, my Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions believe he’ll be the haymaker that puts Minnesota on the mat tonight.
My NBA picks are taking Fox to top his scoring prop on Friday, May 15.
Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 6 prediction today
Spurs vs Timberwolves best bet: De’Aaron Fox Over 16.5 points (-115)
Despite playing with sore ankles in Game 5, De’Aaron Fox topped his points prop for the third straight outing.
Fox scored 18 points with the bulk of those buckets in and around the key.
Fox is second on the team in points in the paint (9.0) and sees a clearer path to the rim if the Minnesota Timberwolves continue to tinker with their rotation.
Minnesota played rim protector Rudy Gobert a playoff-low 23 minutes in Game 5, opting to go small. With Victor Wembanyama in high screen action, Fox finds easier looks inside with Gobert gone and an extra day to rest his wheels.
Projections sit at 17+ with a ceiling of 20 points.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Fox has done well vs. Minnesota guards Ayo Dosunmu (injured) and Mike Conley (old) in this series. Jaden McDaniels is a rare T-Wolves player having success against Fox (34.5 FG%), and he’s expected to match up on Wembanyama more in Game 6.
Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 6 same-game parlay
The San Antonio Spurs had six players score at least 12 points in the Game 5 win, and that depth is wearing down Minnesota while exhausting all defensive counters.
The T-Wolves just don’t have the horses to keep up with that offense, especially with Anthony Edwards not at 100%, and the T-Wolves’ poor outside shooting unable to close the gap.
Wembanyama keeps topping his rebounding props, snatching at least 15 boards in four of the first five games. The only game he didn’t top that prop is when he was tossed 12 minutes into Game 4.
San Antonio’s paint protection is forcing Minnesota into low-percentage looks, and that’s creating ample rebounding opportunities for the 7-footer.
Spurs vs Timberwolves SGP
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De’Aaron Fox Over 16.5 points
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Victor Wembanyama Over 13.5 rebounds
Spurs vs Timberwolves odds for Game 6 today
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Spread: Spurs -4.5 | Timberwolves +4.5
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Moneyline: Spurs -190 | Timberwolves +160
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Over/Under: Over 218.5 | Under 218.5
Spurs vs Timberwolves betting trend to know
The Spurs have hit the moneyline in 30 of their last 40 away games (+26.65 Units/20% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Timberwolves.
How to watch Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 6
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Location |
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
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Date |
Friday, May 15, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
9:30 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Prime Video |
Spurs vs Timberwolves latest injuries
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