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Another quality pitching matchup awaits us in the second of a three-game set between the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners.
We like one of the most improved arms in baseball last season to carve up a swing-heavy Yankees lineup.
My Yankees vs. Mariners predictions and MLB picks break down why we like the plus money over price on Logan Gilbert strikeouts on Tuesday, March 31.
Yankees vs Mariners predictions
Yankees vs Mariners best bet: Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 strikeouts (+110)
It’s fair to ask if Luis Castillo can mow down the New York Yankees with seven strikeouts rather comfortably than why would a better pitcher be any different a day later?
Logan Gilbert’s 32% strikeout rate ranked in the 94th percentile last season, and his 33% whiff rate sat 93rd. Those are not empty numbers.
He posted an 11.9 K/9 last year across 131 innings, and the Yankees are the right matchup to push him over this number.
If Gilbert records 18 outs, his strikeout total projects to just over 8. I’ll take that at this price point.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Logan Gilbert’s 7+ foot extension is the longest in baseball. That release point makes his fastball arrive on hitters roughly a foot closer to the plate than the average pitcher.
Yankees vs Mariners same-game parlay (SGP)
I’m pairing a scoreless first frame with my best bet.
I like the angle of backing Gilbert early against a swing happy lineup after a rough season opening stat.
On the other side, I trust the strong peripherals that heavily tilt towards Max Fried against the 1 through 4 hitters in the Seattle Mariners lineup.
Yankees vs Mariners SGP
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Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 strikeouts
Yankees vs Mariners home run pick: Giancarlo Stanton (+260)
Giancarlo Stanton’s raw power makes him attractive here. Over four games, he’s posted one of the highest chase contact numbers of his career.
The sample is hardly meaningful but if it can continue for another night, it will give him a boost in this matchup as Gilbert is a chase reliant pitcher.
Stanton gets to one and it’s likely going to be hit quite hard.
2026 Transparency record
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Best bets: 2-1, +.80 units
Yankees vs Mariners odds
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Moneyline: New York -110 | Seattle -110
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Run line: New York +1.5 (-225) | Seattle -1.5 (+195)
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Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-102)
Yankees vs Mariners trend
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 70 games (+16.15 Units / 14% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Mariners.
How to watch Yankees vs Mariners and game info
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Location |
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA |
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Date |
Tuesday, March 31, 2026 |
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First pitch |
9:40 p.m. ET |
|
TV |
TBS |
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Yankees starting pitcher |
Max Fried |
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Mariners starting pitcher |
Logan Gilbert |
Yankees vs Mariners latest injuries
Yankees vs Mariners weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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