Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.
The Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets square off for the fourth and final time of the campaign as familiar Western Conference foes clash at Ball Arena.
Jamal Murray is enjoying the best scoring season of his career, and my Warriors vs. Nuggets predictions expect him to stay hot tonight.
Here are my free NBA picks for Sunday, March 29.
Warriors vs Nuggets prediction
Warriors vs Nuggets best bet: Jamal Murray Over 22.5 points (-110)
Jamal Murray is averaging a career-high 25.5 points per game, and he’s in the midst of a major heater right now. Murray has averaged 27.1 points across his last 16 outings, including 84 points across his last two games.
He’s been a versatile scorer over that stretch, knocking down 3.4 triples and hitting 5.9 free throws per game. The Denver Nuggets’ star point guard has reached 23 points in 44 of 70 games, including 20 of 33 at home.
In three matchups with the Golden State Warriors, Murray scored 21, 23, and 25 points, and Golden State’s defense presents a favorable matchup on Sunday.
Over the last 10 games, the Warriors have allowed the 10th-most points (120.8), and they sport the 19th-ranked defensive rating (117.1).
Golden State’s roster has been ravaged by injuries, and finding the players needed to slow down Murray will be no easy task.
The point total is set at 238.5, and I’m predicting a high-scoring matchup. That means Murray will have plenty of opportunities to score, and he’ll have no problem reaching the Over on such a modest scoring line — given his recent offensive success and friendly defensive matchup.
Warriors vs Nuggets same-game parlay
The Nuggets and Warriors have hit the Over at the highest and second-highest percentages, respectively. Denver is 8-2 to the Over across its last 10 games, and Golden State is 7-3. Both teams also rank in the Top 10 in pace across their last 10 games overall.
The Dubs haven’t found much success against the spread on the road. Both teams have struggled to cover in recent contests, but Denver gets the edge due to health and home-court advantage. The home team has also covered in all three meetings this season.
Warriors vs Nuggets SGP
-
Jamal Murray Over 22.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: Dynamic duo
Murray and Nikola Jokic made history earlier in the week, reaching 400 wins as teammates and becoming the first duo to have one player with 50 points and another with 15/15/15 in the same contest. Both should stay hot against a struggling Warriors defense.
Murray has averaged 7.3 dimes across his last nine outings. He’s cashed the Over on this line in two of three matchups with Golden State.
Jokic has averaged 25.7 points across his last 15 games, hitting 26+ in seven of them. He scored at least that many points in two of three matchups with the Warriors. Over his last 15 games, the Joker has averaged 11.9 assists and recorded 12+ dimes 10 times.
Warriors vs Nuggets SGP
-
Jamal Murray Over 22.5 points
-
Jamal Murray Over 6.5 assists
-
Nikola Jokic Over 25.5 points
-
Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 assists
Warriors vs Nuggets odds
-
Spread: Warriors +11.5 | Nuggets -11.5
-
Moneyline: Warriors +450 | Nuggets -600
-
Over/Under: Over 238.5 | Under 238.5
Warriors vs Nuggets betting trend to know
The Golden State Warriors have hit the game total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Nuggets.
How to watch Warriors vs Nuggets
|
Location |
Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
|
Date |
Sunday, March 29, 2026 |
|
Tip-off |
10:00 p.m. ET |
|
TV |
NBC |
Warriors vs Nuggets latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.
Read the full article here