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The Golden State Warriors’ road trip continues Wednesday as the Dubs travel to TD Garden to face the Boston Celtics.
Both teams are slow and low-scoring, and I don’t forecast many points in my Warriors vs. Celtics predictions.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this cross-conference matchup on Wednesday, March 18.
Warriors vs Celtics prediction
Warriors vs Celtics best bet: Under 214.5 (-110)
Wednesday’s matchup at TD Garden will be a slow and methodical slugfest between hard-nosed defenses.
The Boston Celtics sport the slowest pace in the Association, and the Golden State Warriors own the sixth-slowest pace across their last 10 games.
The Dubs are 18th in scoring (115.3 PPG), and the Celtics are 20th (114.3 PPG). Across their last 10, Boston has averaged just 113.7 ppg, and Golden State 113.6.
The Warriors have hit the Under in 10 of 15 games as the road dog, and the Celtics have gone Under in 18 of 28 as the home favorites.
Warriors vs Celtics same-game parlay
Neemias Queta is averaging 9.9 points and 8.3 rebounds per game in his breakout campaign, and he’s got a strong matchup on tap tonight.
The Warriors have surrendered the 12th-most points in the paint over their last five games, along with the fourth-most second-chance points and third-most rebounds.
Queta has reached 9+ points and 9+ rebounds 18 times this season, including two of his last three games at TD Garden. With Al Horford sidelined and Quinten Post banged up, Queta should be able to shine in front of the Boston faithful.
Warriors vs Celtics SGP
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Neemias Queta Over 8.5 points
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Neemias Queta Over 8.5 rebounds
Our “from downtown” SGP: Celtics dominate down low
I’m betting on Queta to go for at least nine points and nine boards, so it’s not a far leap to bet on a 10/10 performance.
Jayson Tatum has averaged 18.7 points and 11 rebounds in three home games this season, recording two double-doubles. He and Queta can both hit that statistical milestone in a plus matchup at home.
Jaylen Brown’s production has taken a step back with Tatum in the lineup, but he’s recorded 31+ points + rebounds three times with Tatum available.
Warriors vs Celtics SGP
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Neemias Queta to record a double-double
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Jayson Tatum to record a double-double
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Jaylen Brown Over 30.5 points + rebounds
Warriors vs Celtics odds
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Spread: Golden State +12.5 (-115) | Boston -12.5 (-105)
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Moneyline: Golden State +450 | Boston -600
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Over/Under: Over 215.5 (-110) | Under 215.5 (-110)
Warriors vs Celtics betting trend to know
The Celtics have hit the Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Celtics.
How to watch Warriors vs Celtics
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Location |
TD Garden, Boston, MA |
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Date |
Wednesday, March 18, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
7:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
ESPN |
Warriors vs Celtics latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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