Pistons vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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This could have been a matchup of two of the best young stars in the NBA. Instead, both the Detroit Pistons and the Minnesota Timberwolves are having their depth tested with both Cade Cunningham and Anthony Edwards sidelined.

My Pistons vs. Timberwolves predictions and these NBA picks see value in those injury absences on Saturday, March 28.

Pistons vs Timberwolves prediction

Pistons vs Timberwolves best bet: Naz Reid Over 14.5 points (-120)

It would be understandable to accuse me of suggesting this bet as a reaction to Scott Foster’s egregious ejection of Naz Reid in overtime in Wednesday’s utterly chaotic Minnesota Timberwolves win against the Rockets. Foster’s idiocy and the subsequent $50,000 fine levied on Reid do not hurt the motivation here, but the logic is actually much more tangible.

Jaden McDaniels has been ruled out for this matchup against the Detroit Pistons. Without McDaniels and Edwards around, more of the Timberwolves’ offense will run through Reid.

Yes, that is also true of Ayo Dosunmu, but with a tender calf, he may not be as frenetic in transition, and that could suddenly worry his points prop of 16.5 (with the Over juiced to -120 at bet365).

Reid, however, should see some minutes at the three in McDaniels’s stead, and he should take those added minutes and turn them into transition buckets, offensive rebounds and open 3s.

As much as Dosunmu and Bones Hyland have gotten the headlines for Minnesota finding some gear in transition, Reid deserves even more credit. He has always been eager to push it. He was running the floor with the “Twin Turbos” guards as soon as they were on the Timberwolves’ roster.

With Daniss Jenkins now carrying an inordinate workload for the Pistons without Cunningham, a few more transition opportunities may be available. Jenkins has turned over the ball at least three times in three of his last four games, including six against Atlanta on Wednesday.

Pistons vs Timberwolves same-game parlay

These are all bets on quality players taking advantage of added minutes due to stars’ absences. With Cunningham sidelined due to a collapsed lung, second-year St. John’s product Daniss Jenkins has cleared this points prop in his last four games, averaging 22.5 points and 13.75 shot attempts per game.

Pistons vs Timberwolves SGP

• Naz Reid Over 14.5 points

• Naz Reid Over 6.5 rebounds

• Daniss Jenkins Over 16.5 points

Our “from downtown” SGP: No Edwards, No Problem

On a night-to-night basis, the Timberwolves are not better without Anthony Edwards, but they are more consistent. It is not a total surprise that Minnesota has gone 4-1 against the spread with Edwards sidelined by knee inflammation, with four of those five games hitting their Unders.

Pistons vs Timberwolves SGP

• Naz Reid Over 14.5 points

Pistons vs Timberwolves odds

• Spread: Detroit +2 | Minnesota -2

• Moneyline: Detroit +105 | Minnesota -125

• Over/Under: Over 223.5 | Under 223.5

Pistons vs Timberwolves betting trend to know

The Timberwolves have not only gone 4-1 ATS without Edwards since March 17; they have also exceeded bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 10.3 points per game even when including the sole ATS loss. Find more NBA betting trends for Pistons vs. Timberwolves.

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