It’s Wednesday, May 14 and the Pirates (14-29) are in Queens to take on the Mets (28-15). Bailey Falter is slated to take the mound for Pittsburgh against Clay Holmes for New York.
The Mets won yesterday’s matchup, 2-1, off a Brett Baty homer in the 7th inning. New York won both meetings with Pittsburgh by one run (4-3 and 2-1). The Pirates are 2-3 in the last five games, but 2-10 over the previous 12 compared to the 3-0 run the Mets are on and 5-1 in the past six games.
Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Pirates at Mets
- Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
- Time: 7:10 PM EST
- Site: Citi Field
- City: Queens, NY
- Network/Streaming: SNP, SNY, MLB Network
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Odds for the Pirates at the Mets
The latest odds as of Wednesday:
- Moneyline: Pirates (+218), Mets (-270)
- Spread: Mets -1.5
- Total: 8.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Pirates at Mets
- Pitching matchup for May 14, 2025: Bailey Falter vs. Clay Holmes
- Pirates: Bailey Falter, (2-3, 4.36 ERA)
Last outing: 6.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 2 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 3 Strikeouts - Mets: Clay Holmes, (5-1, 2.74 ERA)
Last outing: 6.0 Innings Pitched, 1 Earned Runs Allowed, 3 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts
- Pirates: Bailey Falter, (2-3, 4.36 ERA)
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Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Pirates and the Mets
Rotoworld Best Bet
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) leans toward the Buccos:
“One of the angles I like in baseball is backing a team to avoid a sweep. The Pirates avoided a sweep against the Braves after two consecutive series of being swept. At +220 odds, the Pirates aren’t a bad look today in what could be another low-scoring affair.”
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday’s game between the Pirates and the Mets:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the New York Mets on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Pittsburgh Pirates at +1.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 8.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Pirates at Mets
- The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games at home against National League teams
- The Under is 18-10-3 in the Pirates’ matchups against National League teams this season
- The Pirates have covered the Run Line in 4 straight matchups against the Mets
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
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