It’s Friday, July 11 and the Phillies (54-39) are in San Diego to take on the Padres (50-43). Ranger Suárez is slated to take the mound for Philadelphia against Ryan Bergert for San Diego.
Philadelphia is coming off a 13-0 smackdown victory over the Giants, and had the day off, while San Diego beat Arizona, 4-3. These teams met at the end of June and to start July.
The Phillies won two of three games against the Padres with another being postponed. Since then, the Phillies are 3-3, while the Padres are 4-3. San Diego has yet to put together a winning streak over 13 games, but has another chance today.
Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Phillies at Padres
- Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
- Time: 9:40PM EST
- Site: Petco Park
- City: San Diego, CA
- Network/Streaming: NBCSP, SDPA, MLBN
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Odds for the Phillies at the Padres
The latest odds as of Friday:
- Moneyline: Phillies (-165), Padres (+139)
- Spread: Phillies -1.5
- Total: 8.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Phillies at Padres
- Pitching matchup for July 11, 2025: Ranger Suárez vs. Ryan Bergert
- Phillies: Ranger Suárez, (7-2, 1.99 ERA)
Last outing: 5.0 Innings Pitched, 1 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 6 Strikeouts - Padres: Ryan Bergert, (1-0, 2.67 ERA)
Last outing: 3.0 Innings Pitched, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts
- Phillies: Ranger Suárez, (7-2, 1.99 ERA)
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Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Phillies and the Padres
Rotoworld Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Phillies and the Padres:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the San Diego Padres at +1.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Phillies at Padres
- The Padres are 6-3 when Bergert pitches this season
- The Phillies are 8-4 when Suarez pitches this season
- The Phillies have won 8 of their last 10 games at the Padres
- The Over has cashed in each of the Phillies’ last 3 games with a rest advantage over their opponents
- When the Phillies have had a rest advantage over their opponents they have failed to cover the Run Line in their last 6 games
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
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- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
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