There is plenty at stake in New York and around the NBA as the playoffs start. Here’s a look at the ramifications for some playoff teams:
KNICKS: As noted on this week’s Putback, the stakes are high for Tom Thibodeau entering the playoffs. If the Knicks beat Detroit and are competitive in the second round against Boston, I’d assume Thibodeau will be fine. Given Thibodeau’s success in New York, this is the most likely scenario.
But if the Knicks struggle against Detroit or are noncompetitive in the second round against Boston, there will be tough conversations about the franchise’s next steps.
The post-mortem analysis will include an assessment of Thibodeau. Would the Knicks head coach survive a subpar playoff performance?
It all depends on how team president Leon Rose and owner James Dolan view the season.
Thibodeau has been on shaky ground in the past and survived. Rose made the decision to stick with Thibodeau amid past uncertainty. In hindsight, keeping Thibodeau was the best decision Rose could have made.
The head coach has helped guide the Knicks to their best three-year run since the late 1990s.
He is also under contract for four more seasons. Earlier in the season, I thought Thibodeau would survive any playoff shortcomings and be back next season. But that’s not the case anymore. I think anything is on the table if the Knicks struggle in the playoffs, including a coaching change.
No matter what happens this spring, the Knicks will have to decide on Mikal Bridges’ extension. Bridges is eligible for a four-year, $156 million deal on July 1. The Knicks gave up five first-round picks in order to acquire Bridges. So it would be surprising if they didn’t secure him long-term to an extension if everything goes well in the playoffs. If things go sideways, New York could include Bridges in a deal for a significant return.
OTHER EASTERN CONFERENCE RAMIFICATIONS
PACERS: The Pacers want to retain 2025 free agent Myles Turner. But the team also reportedly wants to remain below the luxury tax. In order to achieve both of those goals, the Pacers may have to shed salary via trade.
They have several options if they want to go this route, including Bennedict Mathurin, Obi Toppin, and Aaron Nesmith. The club’s playoff performance – and the performances of its role players – will likely factor in to any roster decisions made around Turner.
BUCKS: The Nets aren’t the only NBA team keeping a close eye on the Bucks and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Several teams operated at the NBA trade deadline with a potential run at Antetokounmpo in mind. Why would teams see an Antetokounmpo trade as a remote possibility? That belief stems – in part – on Antetokounmpo’s own stance. He has said in the past that his top priority is to win. In acquiring Damian Lillard and Kyle Kuzma via trade and making high-stakes coaching changes, Milwaukee has operated like a team desperate to win. But the results haven’t been great. Will another subpar playoff performance cause Antetokounmpo to request a trade? That’s part of what is at stake for Milwaukee this spring. The Nets, it should be noted, have a bevy of assets to offer in a trade for Antetokounmpo – or another star. Brooklyn owns four first-round picks in the 2025 NBA Draft and has 13 tradeable first-round picks in the next seven drafts.
HAWKS: After losing to Orlando on Tuesday, the Hawks face an uphill climb to qualify for the playoffs. Whether their season ends later this week or after a first-round loss to Cleveland, the Hawks will have a significant decision to make with Trae Young. Young has a player option in 2026 and is eligible for a four-year, $230 million extension in the offseason.
Do the Hawks want to make that financial commitment to Young while building around Jalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels and, presumably, rookie Zaccharie Risacher? That’s a big question for Landry Fields & Co entering the offseason.
WESTERN CONFERENCE RAMIFICATIONS
TIMBERWOLVES: The most pressing issue for the Timberwolves is stopping Luka Doncic, LeBron James, and the Lakers. The big picture facing the Wolves: how much is ownership willing to spend on the roster? Naz Reid could test free agency. He has a $15 million player option for next season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker will be an unrestricted free agent. Julius Randle has a $30 million player option. The Timberwolves are facing a significant tax bill. It would be extremely challenging to keep all three of Randle, Alexander-Walker, and Reid.
Worth noting on Randle: the Heat have had interest in him at different points over the past few seasons. Randle could exercise his player option and be traded. The Nets, Bulls, and Pistons are among a small group of teams projected to have cap space this offseason. On the other side of Timberwolves-Lakers, James has a player option for 2025-26.
ROCKETS: The Rockets are in an enviable position. They won 52 games in the regular season and have a bevy of assets to swing a trade this offseason. Houston can acquire five additional first-round picks over the next five drafts and has several players – Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Cam Whitmore, Dillon Brooks, Fred Van Vleet– who would draw interest in the trade market.
Houston’s performance in the postseason will impact their approach in the offseason. The No. 1 question for Houston this summer: what would you trade for Kevin Durant? Durant will be available via trade and will presumably be moved to one of his preferred destinations. It’s well known that he and Rockets head coach Ime Udoka have a strong connection. The Rockets obviously would have competition for Durant. The Mavericks are among the teams who pursued him aggressively at the trade deadline. They continued to search for ways to land Durant even after he made it clear through back-channels that he didn’t want to be traded. So Dallas will almost assuredly explore the Durant market again this summer. Will Houston be in an as well? On the other side of the Warriors-Rockets series, Golden State will have a decision to make on restricted free agent Jonathan Kuminga. Kuminga was not in the Warriors’ rotation during their play-in win over Memphis on Tuesday.
KINGS: Sacramento has been underwhelming this season after firing head coach Mike Brown, trading De’Aaron Fox and acquiring Zach LaVine.
With Brown out, the Kings front office is under the microscope. Owner Vivek Ranadive is expected to take a hard look at the front office in the offseason. Obviously, a strong playoff run would factor in to any decision Ranadive makes on Monte McNair and his group. Other teams viewed Wes Wilcox’s move from the Kings to the University of Utah as a sign of uncertainty in Sacramento. The Kings face the Mavericks in the Play-In tournament on Wednesday night.
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