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Want to know how bad the Sacramento Kings are these days?
The Dallas Mavericks are without Cooper Flagg and PJ Washington, with a few other guys banged up, and they’re still favored by a touchdown tonight.
My Kings vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks break down why it will be another long night for Sacramento on Thursday, February 26.
Kings vs Mavericks prediction
Kings vs Mavericks best bet: Kings team total Under 114.5 (-115)
The Sacramento Kings are down bad. They’ve lost 17 of 18, and Domantas Sabonis and De’Andre Hunter are out for the season.
The Kings have the third-worst offensive rating over the last 13 games and are averaging just 106.8 points over that stretch.
While the Dallas Mavericks have all the struggles of a young team, they’ve been surprisingly stingy, ranking eighth in opponent effective field goal percentage and 14th in defensive rating.
The Kings have a team total of 114.5. It’s tough to see them going Over, as it’s a number they’ve stayed Under in nine of their last 13.
Kings vs Mavericks same-game parlay
A bad offense means lots of rebounds, which is something else the Kings don’t do well, ranking 28th in rebounding rate.
Marvin Bagley III has been getting more of a run with all the Mavs’ injuries and has pulled down double-digit boards in two of his last three games.
Meanwhile, one of the newest Mavs, Khris Middleton, has topped this number of 4.5 in four of his last five games.
Kings vs Mavericks SGP
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Kings team total Under 114.5
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Marvin Bagley III Over 8.5 rebounds
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Khris Middleton Over 4.5 rebounds
Our “from downtown” SGP: I’m seeing double-double
Both teams struggle to defend the paint. Bagley has a double-double in two of his last three, while Precious Achiuwa has two in his last four.
Kings vs Mavericks SGP
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Marvin Bagley Jr. double-double
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Precious Achiuwa double-double
Kings vs Mavericks odds
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Spread: Kings +7 (-105) | Mavericks -7 (-115)
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Moneyline: Kings +230 | Mavericks -270
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Over/Under: Over 236 (-110) | Under 236 (-110)
Kings vs Mavericks betting trend to know
The Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games for +11.50 Units and a 20% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Mavericks.
How to watch Kings vs Mavericks
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Location |
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
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Date |
Thursday, February 26, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
8:30 p.m. ET |
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TV |
NBC Sports California, MavsTV |
Kings vs Mavericks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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