A few lessons had to be learned on Friday night. First, there will be a Game 7 between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers. Florida suffered from shooting high and wide more than hitting the target. Toronto took advantage by striking twice in the third period for the shutout win.
Can Winnipeg do the equally unexpected and force a Game 7 with Dallas?
Jets vs. Stars Pick for Game 6
The Winnipeg Jets have controlled the special teams battle twice in this series and won both games 4-0. However, the problem is that those games were at home. When digging into the numbers, what the Jets see is more daunting than what the Maple Leafs saw for their Game 6.
Bettors and fans have seen this time and time again with Winnipeg. Oddly, the Jets were Top 10 on the power play with ease on the road during the 2024-25 season. However, the playoffs have been a different story there, too.
- Every team shooting below 10% has been eliminated, except for Winnipeg
- Winnipeg has been outscored 3-0 on the road by Dallas in this series
- Connor Hellebuyck has not had a save percentage above .875 in five road games (0-5)
Winnipeg has kept shots and scoring chances to a minimum throughout the playoffs. Hellebuyck has only faced 25+ shots once. That Game 7 against St. Louis took almost 93 minutes to decide.
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The movement to Winnipeg has been interesting in terms of the moneyline. Currently, the Jets are only a +130 underdog to force a Game 7 on Monday night. Remember, Toronto was a +210 underdog on Friday night in Florida. Is this another series that gets unpredictable after an almost predictable stretch of games?
Dallas, strangely enough, is almost like Winnipeg. Aside from Game 1, the Stars score far less on the road when compared to home. Does Dallas feel the pressure of not wanting this series to return to Winnipeg?
Dallas feels comfortable at home, and Winnipeg has not pushed them out of that comfort zone. I still like the Stars to squeeze this one in regulation on Saturday night.
Best Bet: Dallas to win in regulation (EVEN via DraftKings)
Winnipeg vs. Dallas Player Prop Watch
The first five games for Jason Robertson feel like a dress rehearsal. After missing three weeks due to injury, Robertson has only eight shots in five games against Winnipeg. However, he has had some glorious scoring chances. While Mikko Rantanen (11) and Wyatt Johnston (7) lead in points at home, Robertson’s numbers lengthen.
A typical regular-season game usually sees Robertson in the +150 to +175 range for an anytime goal. His playoff number is now +275 to get a puck past Connor Hellebuyck. Is the pivot the same player he was in April? That answer is not exactly.
Johnston will again be attractive for point props. The winger is -125 to get at least one point on Saturday night. There are some other options, too, and even some that are considered more in the plus territory.
Robertson is one to watch for those willing to take a little more of a flyer to get off the goose egg on Saturday night.
Best Prop: Jason Robertson anytime goal (+275 via FanDuel).
Winnipeg And Dallas Spread Things Out
Dallas is not getting the same number at -1.5 goals that Winnipeg did in Game 5. Winnipeg saw +200, and now the Stars are seeing +185. The Stars can cover if Dallas learns a lesson or two from Florida.
What other events are possible on Saturday night from the farthest sides of the spectrum?
If Jake Oettinger is on form, allowing two or fewer goals feels likely at -105 via BetMGM. In the previous two home games, Oettinger allowed three goals against Winnipeg.
Finally, do we see an empty net goal? There was one with Carolina and Washington. If Dallas wins, the likelihood is higher, given that this would eliminate Winnipeg. Take a small shot here at +290.
Hardly an empty wager: Dallas Stars to score empty-netter (+290 via BetMGM).
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