The Utah Jazz head to South Beach tonight to face the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center, with tip-off set for 7:30 p.m. ET.
Bam Adebayo is a beast on the boards, but my Jazz vs. Heat predictions think his total tonight is too high.
Read more in my NBA picks for Monday, February 9.
Jazz vs Heat prediction
Jazz vs Heat best bet: Bam Adebayo Under 10.5 rebounds (-115)
Bam Adebayo is a physical presence down low for the Miami Heat, averaging 9.8 rebounds per night. However, his total is 10.5 here, and based on Bam’s recent play, I see value in the Under.
The big man has cashed the Under in boards in three of his last four appearances, only hitting double digits once during that span. He’s also averaging 9.6 rebounds at home compared to 9.9 on the road.
While the Utah Jazz aren’t an elite rebounding team, they’re around the middle of the pack in boards allowed, and we have to remember they now have a new big man in Jaren Jackson Jr.
I have no doubt Adebayo will be a factor down low tonight — I just don’t see him grabbing more than 10 rebounds.
Jazz vs Heat same-game parlay
Jusuf Nurkic is an important piece for the Jazz, averaging 11 points and 10.3 rebounds per game. He’s cashed the Over in points in 13 of his last 14 games. With his total sitting at only 9.5 points, this one is a no-brainer.
Andrew Wiggins isn’t a super high-volume 3-point shooter, but he’s still draining 1.9 treys at a 39% clip. The Canadian wing has hit the Over back-to-back games and in three of his last four.
Jazz vs Heat SGP
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Bam Adebayo Under 10.5 rebounds
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Jusuf Nurkic Over 9.5 points
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Andrew Wiggins Over 1.5 threes
Our “from downtown” SGP: Dimes for days
Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 4.7 dimes this season, and he’s cashed the Over in assists in two consecutive games.
Jazz vs Heat SGP
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Bam Adebayo Under 10.5 rebounds
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Jusuf Nurkic Over 9.5 points
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Andrew Wiggins Over 1.5 threes
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Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 4.5 assists
Jazz vs Heat odds
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Spread: Jazz +7.5 | Heat -7.5
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Moneyline: Jazz +245 | Heat -305
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Over/Under: Over 240 | Under 240
Jazz vs Heat betting trend to know
The Utah Jazz have hit the game total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Heat.
How to watch Jazz vs Heat
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Location |
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL |
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Date |
Monday, February 9, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
7:30 p.m. ET |
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TV |
KJZZ, FDSN Sun |
Jazz vs Heat latest injuries
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