Predicting the NFL Draft, at least beyond the first handful of picks, is often a fool’s errand.

Once one surprise happens on draft night, the rest of the action tends to deviate far away from expectations. That’s part of what makes the event so entertaining despite no actual football being played.

The slide of Shedeur Sanders all the way to the fifth round served as a reminder of how volatile the draft can be, but that certainly wasn’t the only surprise of the weekend. Even without too many trades early in the first round, the result for most experts’ mock drafts was carnage once again. 

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The Sporting News is grading pundits’ final mock drafts. Here is the point system:

  • One full point for correct player, pick and team;
  • One half point for correct player and pick, but incorrect team;
  • One half point for correct player and team, but incorrect pick

Here’s a look at how some of the experts fared in their final mock drafts.

MORE: 2025 NFL Draft winners and losers

(Bold lines represent one full point while italicized lines represent a half-point).

Vinnie Iyer’s mock draft (The Sporting News)

Iyer’s latest mock was released on April 24:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Tennessee Titans Cam Ward QB  Miami
2 Cleveland Browns Travis Hunter CB/WR Colorado
3 New York Giants Abdul Carter EDGE Penn State
4 New England Patriots Will Campbell OT LSU
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State
6 Las Vegas Raiders Mason Graham DT Michigan
7 New York Jets Armand Membou OT Missouri
8 Carolina Panthers Jalon Walker LB Georgia
9 New Orleans Saints Mykel Williams EDGE Georgia
10 Chicago Bears Tyler Warren TE Penn State
11 San Francisco 49ers Walter Nolen DT Ole Miss
12 Dallas Cowboys Tetairoa McMillan WR Arizona
13 Miami Dolphins Kelvin Banks Jr. OT Texas
14 Indianapolis Colts Colston Loveland TE Michigan
15 Atlanta Falcons Jihaad Campbell LB Alabama
16  Arizona Cardinals James Pearce Jr. EDGE Tennessee
17 Cincinnati Bengals Jahdae Barron  CB Texas
18  Seattle Seahawks Kenneth Grant DT Michigan
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Shemar Stewart EDGE Texas A&M
20 Denver Broncos Emeka Egbuka WR Ohio State
21 Pittsburgh Steelers Shedeur Sanders QB Colorado
22  Los Angeles Chargers Matthew Golden WR Texas
23 Green Bay Packers Will Johnson CB Michigan
24 Minnesota Vikings Malaki Starks S Georgia
25 Houston Texans Tyler Booker G Alabama
26 Los Angeles Rams Nick Emmanwori S South Carolina
27 Baltimore Ravens Josh Simmons OT Ohio State
28 Detroit Lions Nic Scourton EDGE Texas A&M
29 Washington Commanders Omarion Hampton RB North Carolina
30 Buffalo Bills Donovan Ezeiruaku EDGE Boston College
31 Kansas City Chiefs Mike Green EDGE Marshall
32 Philadelphia Eagles Luther Burden III WR Missouri

Picks correct: 4.5/32

Iyer nailed the top four picks, earning a half point for the Jaguars’ selection of Travis Hunter after a blockbuster trade, and he added another point with the Jets’ selection of OT Armand Membou at No. 7. 

Peter Schrager’s mock draft (ESPN)

Schrager’s latest mock was released on April 23:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Tennessee Titans Cam Ward QB  Miami
2 Cleveland Browns Travis Hunter WR/CB Colorado
3 New York Giants Abdul Carter EDGE Penn State
4 New England Patriots Will Campbell OT LSU
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State
6 Las Vegas Raiders Armand Memobu OT Missouri
7 New York Jets Tyler Warren TE Penn State
8 Carolina Panthers Jalon Walker LB Georgia
9 New Orleans Saints Mykel Williams EDGE Georgia
10 Indianapolis Colts* Colston Loveland TE Michigan
11 San Francisco 49ers Walter Nolen DT Ole Miss
12 Dallas Cowboys Tyler Booker G Alabama
13 Miami Dolphins Mason Graham DT Michigan
14 Chicago Bears* Kelvin Banks Jr. OT Texas
15 Atlanta Falcons Jihaad Campbell LB Alabama
16  Arizona Cardinals Jahdae Barron CB Texas
17 Cincinnati Bengals Mike Green EDGE Marshall
18  Seattle Seahawks Grey Zabel OL North Dakota State
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tetairoa McMillan WR Arizona
20 Denver Broncos Emeka Egbuka WR Ohio State
21 Pittsburgh Steelers Shedeur Sanders QB  Colorado
22  Los Angeles Chargers Kenneth Grant DT Michigan
23 Green Bay Packers Matthew Golden WR Texas
24 Minnesota Vikings Omarion Hampton RB North Carolina
25 Houston Texans Donovan Jackson OL Ohio State
26 New York Giants* Jaxson Dart QB Ole Miss
27 Baltimore Ravens Josh Simmons OT Ohio State
28 Detroit Lions Will Johnson CB Michigan
29 Washington Commanders Shemar Stewart EDGE Texas A&M
30 Buffalo Bills Malaki Starks S Georgia
31 Kansas City Chiefs James Pearce Jr, EDGE Tennessee
32 Philadelphia Eagles Maxwell Hairston CB Kentucky

Picks correct: 7.5/32

Schrager had some extremely impressive hits in his final mock draft, nailing the top four picks and also Tyler Booker to the Cowboys, Grey Zabel to the Seahawks, and Matthew Golden to the Packers.

Schrager picked up two half points in addition to Hunter: he correctly slotted TE Colston Loveland at No. 10 overall but had the Colts trading up with the Bears for the pick, and we’ll give him a half point for matching Jaxson Dart and the Giants one pick below where New York actually took the Ole Miss quarterback. 

MORE: Early top 50 big board for 2026 NFL Draft

Todd McShay (The Ringer)

Todd McShay released a mock draft on April 23:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Tennessee Titans Cam Ward QB  Miami
2 Cleveland Browns Travis Hunter CB/WR Colorado
3 New York Giants Abdul Carter EDGE Penn State
4 New England Patriots Will Campbell OT LSU
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State
6 Las Vegas Raiders Kelvin Banks Jr. OT Texas
7 New York Jets Jalon Walker EDGE Georgia
8 Carolina Panthers Walter Nolen DT Ole Miss
9 New Orleans Saints Mykel Williams EDGE Georgia
10 Chicago Bears Mason Graham DT Michigan
11 San Francisco 49ers Shemar Stewart EDGE Texas A&M
12 Dallas Cowboys Tetairoa McMillan  WR Arizona
13 Miami Dolphins Armond Membou OT Missouri
14 Indianapolis Colts Tyler Warren TE Penn State
15 Atlanta Falcons James Pearce Jr. EDGE Tennessee
16  Arizona Cardinals Jihaad Campbell LB Alabama
17 Cincinnati Bengals Mike Green EDGE Marshall
18  Seattle Seahawks Grey Zabel G North Dakota State
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Will Johnson CB Michigan
20 Denver Broncos Colston Loveland TE Michigan
21 Pittsburgh Steelers Derrick Harmon DT Oregon
22  Los Angeles Chargers Kenneth Grant DT Michigan
23 Green Bay Packers Maxwell Hairston CB Kentucky
24 Minnesota Vikings Jahdae Barron CB Texas
25 Houston Texans Matthew Golden WR Texas
26 Los Angeles Rams Emeka Egbuka WR Ohio State
27 Baltimore Ravens Malaki Starks S Georgia
28 New York Giants (from Detroit) Jaxson Dart QB Ole Miss
29 Washington Commanders Donovan Ezeiruaku EDGE Boston College
30 Buffalo Bills Shavon Revel Jr. CB East Carolina
31 Kansas City Chiefs Josh Simmons OT Ohio State
32 Philadelphia Eagles Mason Taylor TE LSU

Picks correct: 8/32

McShay made some excellent projections. He nailed six exact picks, including Tyler Warren to the Colts, Grey Zabel to the Seahawks, and Derrick Harmon to the Steelers, along with four half points.

In addition to slotting Hunter in at No. 2, McShay correctly matched up James Pearce Jr. and the Falcons 11 picks early, Jaxson Dart and the Giants three picks late, and Josh Simmons to the Chiefs just one pick early. 

Bucky Brooks’ mock draft (NFL.com)

Brooks’ latest mock was released on April 22:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Tennessee Titans Cam Ward QB  Miami
2 Cleveland Browns Travis Hunter WR/CB Colorado
3 New York Giants Abdul Carter EDGE Penn State
4 New England Patriots Will Campbell OT LSU
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Mason Graham DT Michigan
6 Las Vegas Raiders Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State
7 New York Jets Tyler Warren TE Penn State
8 Carolina Panthers Jalon Walker LB Georgia
9 New Orleans Saints Will Johnson CB Michigan
10 Chicago Bears Kelvin Banks Jr. OT Texas
11 San Francisco 49ers Walter Nolen DT Ole Miss
12 Dallas Cowboys Omarion Hampton RB North Carolina
13 Miami Dolphins Jahdae Barron CB Texas
14 Indianapolis Colts Armand Membou OT Missouri
15 Atlanta Falcons Mike Green EDGE Marshall
16  Arizona Cardinals Derrick Harmon DT Oregon
17 Cincinnati Bengals Shemar Stewart EDGE Texas A&M
18  Seattle Seahawks Tetairoa McMillan WR Arizona
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jihaad Campbell LB Alabama
20 Denver Broncos TreVeyon Henderson RB Ohio State
21 Pittsburgh Steelers Shedeur Sanders QB  Colorado
22  Los Angeles Chargers Colston Loveland TE Michigan
23 Green Bay Packers Maxwell Hairston CB Kentucky
24 Minnesota Vikings Nick Emmanwori S South Carolina
25 Houston Texans Tyler Booker OL Alabama
26 Los Angeles Rams Josh Simmons OT Ohio State
27 Baltimore Ravens Mykel Williams EDGE Georgia
28 Detroit Lions Donovan Jackson OL Ohio State
29 Washington Commanders Matthew Golden WR Texas
30 Buffalo Bills Kenneth Grant DT Michigan
31 Kansas City Chiefs Trey Amos CB Mississippi
32 Philadelphia Eagles Donovan Ezeiruaku EDGE Boston College

Picks correct: 6/32

Brooks nailed five picks, the most impressive being Shemar Stewart to the Bengals at No. 17, and he also slotted Travis Hunter and Mason Graham in the correct spots despite a trade between the Jaguars and Browns swapping their landing spots. 

MORE NFL DRAFT 2025:

Chris Simms’ mock draft (NBC Sports)

Simms’ latest mock was released on April 21:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Tennessee Titans Cam Ward QB  Miami
2 Cleveland Browns Travis Hunter WR/CB Colorado
3 New York Giants Abdul Carter EDGE Penn State
4 New England Patriots Will Campbell OT LSU
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Mason Graham DT Michigan
6 Las Vegas Raiders Armand Membou OT Missouri
7 New York Jets Kelvin Banks Jr. OT Texas
8 Carolina Panthers Jalon Walker LB Georgia
9 New Orleans Saints Jihaad Campbell LB Alabama
10 Chicago Bears Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State
11 San Francisco 49ers Shemar Stewart EDGE Texas A&M
12 Dallas Cowboys Omarion Hampton RB North Carolina
13 Miami Dolphins Will Johnson CB Michigan
14 Indianapolis Colts Tyler Warren TE Penn State
15 Atlanta Falcons Mike Green EDGE Marshall
16  Arizona Cardinals Grey Zabel G North Dakota State
17 Cincinnati Bengals Tyler Booker OL Alabama
18  Seattle Seahawks Josh Conerly OT Oregon
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Malaki Starks S Georgia
20 Denver Broncos Tetairoa McMillan WR Arizona
21 Pittsburgh Steelers Derrick Harmon DT Oregon
22  Los Angeles Chargers Colston Loveland TE Michigan
23 Green Bay Packers Matthew Golden WR Texas
24 Minnesota Vikings Maxwell Hairston CB Kentucky
25 Houston Texans Josh Simmons OT Ohio State
26 Los Angeles Rams Jahdae Barron CB Texas
27 Baltimore Ravens Donovan Ezeiruaku EDGE Boston College
28 Detroit Lions Donovan Jackson OL Ohio State
29 Washington Commanders James Pearce Jr. EDGE Tennessee
30 Buffalo Bills Shavon Revel CB East Carolina
31 Kansas City Chiefs Kenneth Grant DT Michigan
32 Philadelphia Eagles Mykel Williams EDGE Georgia

Picks correct: 7/32

Simms hit on Tyler Warren to the Colts, Derrick Harmon to the Steelers, and Matthew Golden to the Packers while also nailing the slots for Travis Hunter (No. 2) and Mason Graham (No. 5).

Dane Brugler (The Athletic) 

Brugler’s latest mock draft was released on April 16

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Tennessee Titans Cam Ward QB  Miami
2 Cleveland Browns Travis Hunter CB/WR Colorado
3 New York Giants Abdul Carter EDGE Penn State
4 New England Patriots Will Campbell OT LSU
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State
6 Las Vegas Raiders Mason Graham DT Michigan
7 New York Jets Armand Membou OT Missouri
8 Carolina Panthers Jalon Walker EDGE Georgia
9 New Orleans Saints Tetairoa McMillan WR Arizona
10 Chicago Bears Tyler Warren TE Penn State
11 San Francisco 49ers Shemar Stewart EDGE Texas A&M
12 Dallas Cowboys Matthew Golden WR Texas
13 Miami Dolphins Nick Emmanwori S South Carolina
14 Indianapolis Colts Colston Loveland TE Michigan
15 Atlanta Falcons Mike Green EDGE Marshall
16  Arizona Cardinals Mykel Williams EDGE Georgia
17 Cincinnati Bengals Derrick Harmon DT Oregon
18  Seattle Seahawks Grey Zabel G North Dakota State
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jihaad Campbell LB Alabama
20 Denver Broncos Omarion Hampton RB North Carolina
21 Pittsburgh Steelers Shedeur Sanders QB  Colorado
22  Los Angeles Chargers Kenneth Grant DT Michigan
23 Green Bay Packers Will Johnson CB Michigan
24 Minnesota Vikings Jahdae Barron CB Texas
25 Houston Texans Walter Nolen DT Ole Miss
26 Los Angeles Rams Josh Conerly OT Oregon
27 Baltimore Ravens Kelvin Banks OT Texas
28 Detroit Lions Maxwell Hairston CB Kentucky
29 Washington Commanders Emeka Egbuka WR Ohio State
30 Buffalo Bills Malaki Starks S Georgia
31 Kansas City Chiefs Josh Simmons OT Ohio State
32 Philadelphia Eagles Donavan Ezeiruaku EDGE Boston College

Picks correct: 6/32

Brugler was another pundit who hit on Grey Zabel to the Seahawks, and his other highlights include correctly predicting the Jets’ selection of Armand Membou as well as the Chiefs’ selection of Josh Simmons one pick early.

Mel Kiper Jr. and Field Yates (ESPN) 

Kiper released a joint mock draft with Field Yates on April 15

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Tennessee Titans Cam Ward QB Miami
2 Cleveland Browns Travis Hunter CB/WR Colorado
3 New York Giants Abdul Carter EDGE Penn State
4 New England Patriots Will Campbell OT LSU
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Mason Graham DT Michigan
6 Las Vegas Raiders Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State
7 New York Jets Armand Membou OT Missouri
8 Carolina Panthers Jalon Walker EDGE Georgia
9 New Orleans Saints Shedeur Sanders QB Colorado
10 Chicago Bears Tyler Warren TE Penn State
11 San Francisco 49ers Kelvin Banks Jr.  OT Texas
12 Dallas Cowboys Matthew Golden WR Texas
13 Miami Dolphins Will Johnson CB Michigan
14 Indianapolis Colts Colston Loveland TE Michigan
15 Atlanta Falcons Mike Green EDGE Marshall
16  Arizona Cardinals Jahdae Barron CB Texas
17 Cincinnati Bengals Walter Nolen DT Ole Miss
18  Seattle Seahawks Grey Zabel G North Dakota State
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Nick Emmanwori S South Carolina
20 Denver Broncos Omarion Hampton RB North Carolina
21 Pittsburgh Steelers Derrick Harmon DT Oregon
22  Los Angeles Chargers Emeka Egbuka WR Ohio State
23 Green Bay Packers Shemar Stewart EDGE Texas A&M
24 Minnesota Vikings Donavan Jackson G Ohio State
25 Houston Texans Tetairoa McMillan WR Arizona
26 Los Angeles Rams Maxwell Hairston CB Kentucky
27 Baltimore Ravens Malaki Starks S Georgia
28 Detroit Lions Mykel Williams EDGE Georgia
29 Cleveland Browns (via Commanders) Jaxson Dart QB Ole Miss
30 Buffalo Bills Trey Amos CB Ole Miss
31 Kansas City Chiefs Josh Conerly OT Oregon
32 Philadelphia Eagles Jihaad Campbell LB Alabama

Picks correct: 9.5/32

Good things happen when Mel Kiper Jr. and Field Yates put their mind together, apparently. They won with 9.5 points, correctly guessing eight exact picks along with Hunter at No. 2, Graham at No. 5, and Jihaad Campbell to the Eagles. Kiper and Yates also nailed the Ravens’ selection of Malaki Starks.

Daniel Jeremiah (NFL Network)

Daniel Jeremiah released a mock draft on April 23

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Tennessee Titans Cam Ward QB  Miami
2 Cleveland Browns Travis Hunter WR/CB Colorado
3 New York Giants Abdul Carter EDGE Penn State
4 New England Patriots Will Campbell OT LSU
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State
6 Las Vegas Raiders Kelvin Banks Jr. OT Texas
7 New York Jets Armond Membou OT Missouri
8 Carolina Panthers Mason Graham DT Michigan
9 New Orleans Saints Mykel Williams EDGE Georgia
10 Chicago Bears Tyler Warren TE Penn State
11 San Francisco 49ers Grey Zabel OT North Dakota State
12 Dallas Cowboys Tetairoa McMillan WR Arizona
13 Denver Broncos (via Dolphins) Colston Loveland TE Michigan
14 Indianapolis Colts Shemar Stewart EDGE Texas A&M
15 Atlanta Falcons Jalon Walker EDGE Georgia
16  Arizona Cardinals Emeka Egbuka WR Ohio State
17 Cincinnati Bengals Donovan Ezeiruaku EDGE Boston College
18  New York Giants (via Seahawks) Jaxson Dart QB Ole Miss
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Matthew Golden WR Texas
20 Miami Dolphins (via Broncos) Malaki Starks S Georgia
21 Pittsburgh Steelers Shedeur Sanders QB  Colorado
22  Los Angeles Chargers TreVeyon Henderson RB Ohio State
23 Green Bay Packers Maxwell Hairston CB Kentucky
24 Minnesota Vikings Derrick Harmon DT Oregon
25 Houston Texans Tyler Booker OG Alabama
26 Los Angeles Rams Omarion Hampton  RB North Carolina
27 Baltimore Ravens Kenneth Grant DT Michigan
28 Detroit Lions Donovan Jackson OT Ohio State
29 Washington Commanders Jahdae Barron CB Michigan
30 Buffalo Bills Trey Amos CB Ole Miss
31 Kansas City Chiefs Josh Conerly Jr. OT Oregon
32 Philadelphia Eagles Jihaad Campbell LB Alabama

Picks correct: 5/32

Jeremiah didn’t have an exactly correct pick outside of the top seven, but that’s more of a technicality with the Eagles moving up only one slot to take LB Jihaad Campbell. 

Field Yates (ESPN)

Field Yates released his latest mock draft on April 24:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Tennessee Titans Cam Ward QB  Miami
2 Cleveland Browns Travis Hunter WR/CB Colorado
3 New York Giants Abdul Carter EDGE Penn State
4 New England Patriots Will Campbell OT LSU
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State
6 Las Vegas Raiders Kelvin Banks Jr. OT Texas
7 New York Jets Mason Graham DT Michigan
8 Carolina Panthers Armand Membou OT Missouri
9 New Orleans Saints Jalon Walker EDGE Georgia
10 Chicago Bears Tyler Warren TE Penn State
11 San Francisco 49ers Mikel Williams EDGE Georgia
12 Dallas Cowboys Tetairoa McMillan WR Arizona
13 Miami Dolphins Will Johnson CB Michigan
14 Indianapolis Colts Colston Loveland TE Michigan
15 Atlanta Falcons Mike Green EDGE Marshall
16  Arizona Cardinals Josh Simmons OT Ohio State
17 Cincinnati Bengals Walter Nolen DT Ole Miss
18  Seattle Seahawks Grey Zabel G North Dakota State
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jahdae Barron CB Texas
20 Denver Broncos Matthew Golden WR Texas
21 Pittsburgh Steelers Omarion Hampton RB North Carolian
22  Los Angeles Chargers Tyler Booker G Alabama
23 Green Bay Packers Shemar Stewart EDGE Texas A&M
24 Minnesota Vikings Nick Emmanwori S South Carolina
25 Houston Texans Josh Conerly Jr. OT Oregon
26 Los Angeles Rams Carson Schwesinger LB UCLA
27 Baltimore Ravens Malaki Starks S Georgia
28 Detroit Lions Donovan Jackson G Ohio State
29 Cleveland Browns (via Commanders) Shedeur Sanders QB Colorado
30 Buffalo Bills Maxwell Hairston CB Kentucky
31 Kansas City Chiefs Kenneth Grant DT Michigan
32 Philadelphia Eagles Donovan Ezeiruaku EDGE Boston College

Picks correct: 8/32

Yates’ standalone mock draft wasn’t quite as successful as his joint mock draft with Kiper, but it was close. While he missed on picks 5-10, Yates nailed Mykel Williams to the 49ers, Malaki Starks to the Ravens, and Maxwell Hairston to the Bills; his mock draft is the only one from this group to pick both Williams and Hairston correctly.

Yates also earned a half point for correctly projecting the Browns to trade up for QB Shedeur Sanders — he just missed by 115 picks. 

SHEDEUR SANDERS NFL DRAFT SLIDE: 

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