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There are only four days remaining in the NBA regular season. Enjoy them.
Sure, we wine and moan about the half-assed efforts, mixed motivations, and full-on tanking during the home stretch, but with that chaos comes edges.
Soon enough, we’ll only have a handful of postseason games to pick from each day, and those odds will be far less forgiving than these final days of the schedule.
I make the most of this scattered late-season slate with my best NBA player props and NBA picks below.
Best NBA player props today
|
Player |
Pick |
|
|---|---|---|
|
R.J. Barrett |
Over 3.5 assists |
+120 |
|
Alperen Sengun |
To record a double-double |
+100 |
|
Mikal Bridges |
Over 12.5 points |
+100 |
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Prop #1: R.J. Barrett Over 3.5 assists
+120 at bet365
The Toronto Raptors host the Miami Heat for the second time in three days tonight. Toronto is clinging to the No. 6 seed in the Eastern Conference and needs another impressive win, following Tuesday’s 121-95 squash.
R.J. Barrett was one of five Raptors to score in double figures, but Thursday’s prop pick singles out his playmaking.
The small forward finished with only two assists in that last meeting, marking just the third time in the past nine games Barrett hasn’t dished out four or more assists.
He and others had to pick up the ball-handling slack left by Immanuel Quickley’s recent injury. Quickley returned Tuesday but logged limited minutes, so Toronto still needs more playmaking from the likes of Barrett.
He registered seven potential assists against Miami last time out and averaged 6.6 potential dimes over the previous nine outings. The Heat have nosedived down the defensive rankings in recent months and have allowed 28.6 assists per game since the All-Star break (22nd).
Assist projections for Barrett all sit north of the 3.5 O/U, with the majority of models at four dimes with a ceiling flirting with five.
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Where to watch: FDSN-Sun, SportsNet
Prop #2: Alperen Sengun to record a double-double
+100 at bet365
I originally had Joel Embiid staying Under his points total in this game, but he was ruled out due to an emergency appendectomy.
The news hit while I was grocery shopping and prompted an early checkout and sprint back to the desk to update my NBA props. This brings me to Alperen Sengun.
The Houston Rockets’ big man catches a break without Embiid in action tonight. The Philadelphia 76ers’ defense declines without their center in the middle and also has a tougher time cleaning the glass.
Sengun is coming off a 12-point, 14-rebound effort against Phoenix and faces a much softer interior from Philadelphia, which will rely on the old bones of Andre Drummond and reserve Adem Bona to plug the massive gap left by Embiid’s illness.
His 34 double-doubles this season are tied for eighth in the NBA, and Sengun finished with 13 points and eight rebounds with Embiid in action when these teams last met in January.
Projections have Sengun well clear of 10 points, and his rebounding forecasts range from 8.9 to 10.8 boards versus the Sixers tonight.
-
Where to watch: SCHN, NBCS-Philadelphia
Prop #3: Mikel Bridges Over 12.5 points
+100 at bet365
The New York Knicks are guarding the No. 3 seed in the East in these final games of the season. The Knicks stay in MSG for all three closing contests and may get a gift from the Boston Celtics, who could rest a slew of starters tonight due to a back-to-back squeeze.
Mikal Bridges has been excellent against the rival Celtics this season, putting up efforts of 12, 14, and 35 points in three meetings. He’s an erratic scorer who runs hot and cold but appears be getting warm at the right time.
Bridges is averaging more than 14 points per game over his last eight outings while shooting 50% from the field in that span.
The Celtics could be without as many as four starters and opt to limit Jayson Tatum in the first of back-to-back games. Boston has climbed from a +3.5 underdog to +4.5, with that market move hinting the C’s plans for tonight.
Bridges projections all sit north of 13 points with a ceiling of 14.5. That could be even bigger if Boston rolls out a makeshift lineup and lies down for the Knicks.
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Where to watch: Prime Video, MSG
These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.
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