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The Cincinnati Reds are off to a strong 8-5 start, trailing only the powerhouse Los Angeles Dodgers in total wins.
With rising talent Chase Burns set to take the mound, my Angels vs. Reds predictions have Cincinnati defending home field with a win in the series opener.
Let’s break down my MLB picks for Friday, April 10.
Who will win Angels vs Reds today: Cincinnati Reds (-170)
Cincinnati Reds starter Chase Burns has allowed next to nothing through two games, holding opponents to a .154 average, .213 wOBA, and .77 ISO.
Burns leads all of today’s starters with a 37.2 K%, a 42% whiff rate, and a 20.6% swinging strike rate. He is giving up little to no contact and sitting hitters down at an electric rate.
Los Angeles Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz is not nearly as capable at missing bats, and he allows a lot of good contact to lefties – something top of the lineup bats Elly De La Cruz and TJ Friedl could exploit.
Expect the Reds’ pitching advantage to shine through.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Chase Burns owns a 34.2% soft contact rate, the lowest of today’s starting pitchers.
Angels vs Reds Over/Under pick: Under 9 (-104)
Burns has been dominant to start the season. While he showed some vulnerability to lefties last year, the Angels’ lineup is right-handed heavy.
Most of their notable bats – including Zach Neto, Mike Trout, and Jorge Soler – are righties, working in Burns’ favor.
The Angels rank 22nd in wOBA and 27th in line drive rate against right-handed pitching. They’re not a team that should cause Burns problems.
On the other side, Kochanowicz looks improved with a .211 average and .285 wOBA allowed. He draws a Reds offense sitting 28th in wOBA vs. righties.
With both sides struggling against righties and a good pitching matchup, the Under is appealing.
Todd Cordell’s 2026 Transparency Record
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ML/RL bets: 0-2, -2.12 units
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Over/Under bets: 0-2, -2.34 units
Angels vs Reds odds
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Moneyline: Angels +163 | Reds -170
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Run line: Angels +1.5 (-122) | Reds -1.5 (+117)
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Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+122) | Under 9.5 (-127)
Angels vs Reds trend
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Reds.
How to watch Angels vs Reds and game info
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Location |
Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, OH |
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Date |
Friday, April 10, 2026 |
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First pitch |
6:45 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Apple TV |
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Angels starting pitcher |
Jack Kochanowicz |
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Reds starting pitcher |
Chase Burns |
Angels vs Reds latest injuries
Angels vs Reds weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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