Seth Lugo, one of baseball’s most underrated pitchers, is sticking around Kansas City after all.
The Royals reached a two-year, $46 million guaranteed contract extension with Lugo on Sunday, according to multiple reports. While Lugo was widely considered one of the top trade candidates ahead of Thursday’s trade deadline, he’ll instead be in Kansas City for years to come.
Lugo was under contract until the end of this season with a salary of $15 million.
Between his success and the Royals’ struggles, Lugo loomed as one of the trade deadline’s biggest prizes, so long as the club was willing to deal him. His career has flourished since joining Kansas City, as he finished as the runner-up for the AL Cy Young Award last season behind Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal.
As a soft-throwing right-hander who doesn’t strike out many batters and sees most of his balls in play go in the air, Lugo is hardly anyone’s vision of an ace. However, his seemingly bottomless arsenal of pitches keeps batters off-balance enough to post quality starts on a regular basis.
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The Royals hold a 52-54 record heading into Monday’s matchup with the Atlanta Braves, which has them sitting third in the AL Central. Lugo is set to take the mound Tuesday in the second game of that three-game series.
Baseball Savant identifies an incredible 10 pitches that Lugo has used this season: four-seam fastball, curveball, sinker, cutter, changeup, slurve, slider, slow curve, sweeper and splitter. Pitch identification isn’t an exact science, but all that goes to show how many looks Lugo can present on any given pitch. And he’s a Gold Glover to boot.
The results speak for themselves. No pitcher in the American League faced more batters last season than Lugo, and he’s on pace to post a similarly strong season this year with the Royals. A lot of advanced stats don’t love the 35-year-old’s chances of continuing his success, but there are always players who overperform their peripherals. A player with Lugo’s approach could easily be one of them.
What to make of this extension?
Lugo‘s extension feels like a win-win for both the pitcher and the Royals. Since arriving in Kansas City last season, the Royals’ right-hander has been one of the best starting pitchers in the American League.
The Royals’ key to success has always been starting pitching first; don’t expect that to change in 2026. Lugo, who could’ve opted out at the end of 2025 and re-entered free agency, instead gets the raise he was going to get on the market. And Kansas City keeps the most consistent starter in its rotation around for two more years, with the hope of better success in 2026.
In terms of the trade deadline, Lugo’s extension takes one of the top starting pitchers off the board and means that teams that were looking to add, particularly with rentals, will need to go back to the drawing board. — Dorsey
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