The odds of the Oklahoma City Thunder getting one more win to close out the NBA Finals are very, very low.
The Thunder are now -2500 at BetMGM to win the Finals after getting a 120-109 win in Game 5 on Monday night to take a 3-2 series lead over the Indiana Pacers. OKC dominated for much of the game but needed a strong closing kick to put the Pacers away after Indiana had cut the lead to two points in the fourth quarter.
OKC opened the Finals with -700 odds to win the Finals and was one of the biggest Finals favorites in recent memory. But Indiana swiped Game 1 on Tyrese Haliburton’s game-winner with 0.3 seconds left and took a 2-1 series lead with a convincing win in Game 3.
But the Thunder have won back-to-back games in the series to hand Indiana its first consecutive losses since March. And the Thunder need to win either Thursday night in Indiana or on Monday night in Oklahoma City in a potential Game 7 to take their first title in franchise history.
Indiana, meanwhile, is +1050 to win back-to-back games and get the title. The Pacers’ long odds are likely impacted by a right leg injury that Haliburton suffered during Monday night’s Game 5. Haliburton appeared to tweak his calf when he fell to the floor while driving to the basket. He briefly went to the locker room and had his leg heavily wrapped when he was on the bench.
Haliburton was also ineffective when he was on the floor. Walking with a slight limp, Haliburton didn’t make a field goal and had just four free throws. After Game 2, Haliburton was dealing with what was described as a right ankle injury and said after Game 5 that his calf injury was in the “same area.”
After their win Monday night, the Thunder have opened as 4.5-point favorites in Game 6 and -190 on the money line. If you think the Pacers can force a Game 7, Indiana has +155 odds to win the game.
The race for Finals MVP also now looks like a formality if the Thunder end up taking the series. NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is -600 to win Finals MVP through five games with teammate Jalen Williams the No. 2 favorite at +625. Williams dropped 40 points in Game 5 as he and Gilgeous-Alexander combined for 71 of OKC’s 120 points. Siakam is the MVP favorite for the Pacers at +1500 with Haliburton at +4000.
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