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Home»Basketball»Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game 4 Predictions: Odds, expert picks, recent stats, trends and best bets for May 11
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Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game 4 Predictions: Odds, expert picks, recent stats, trends and best bets for May 11

News RoomBy News RoomMay 11, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game 4 Predictions: Odds, expert picks, recent stats, trends and best bets for May 11

It’s Sunday, May 11, and the Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18) and Indiana Pacers (50-32) are all set to square off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals.

Indiana is up 2-1 in the series, but Cleveland took Game 3 in demanding fashion, 126-104. Thanks to a massive 34-13 second quarter, the Cavaliers never looked back once they built a double-digit lead. The trio of Darius Garland (10 points, 3 assists), Evan Mobley (18 points, 13 rebounds), and Deandre Hunter (8 points, 5 rebounds) all returned for Cleveland, but it didn’t make much of a difference for Donovan Mitchell who had a series-high 43 points (9 rebounds, 5 assists).

The Cavaliers are currently 30-11 on the road with a point differential of 10, while the Pacers have an 8-2 record in their last ten games at home. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Listen to the Rotoworld Basketball Show for the latest fantasy player news, waiver claims, roster advice and more from our experts all season long. Click here or download it wherever you get your podcasts.

Game details & how to watch Cavaliers vs. Pacers live today

  • Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM EST
  • Site: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
  • City: Indianapolis, IN
  • Network/Streaming: TNT / truTV / Max

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day NBA schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game.

Game odds for Cavaliers vs. Pacers

The latest odds as of Sunday:

  • Odds: Cavaliers (-207), Pacers (+172)
  • Spread: Cavaliers -5
  • Over/Under: 231 points

That gives the Cavaliers an implied team point total of 117.19, and the Pacers 114.58.

Want to know which sportsbook is offering the best lines for every game on the NBA calendar? Check out the NBC Sports’ Live Odds tool to get all the latest updated info from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM & more!

Expert picks & predictions for Sunday’s Cavaliers vs. Pacers game

Rotoworld Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Tyrese Haliburton Over 17.5 Points in Game 4:

“Tyrese Haliburton is coming off a playoff-low four points on 2-of-8 shooting and a combined 0-for-1 from three-point range and the free-throw line. That performance will be unacceptable for Haliburton and Indiana, so I expect a bounce-back performance in Game 4 at home. Haliburton scored 19 and 22 points in Games 1 and 2 and scored at least 17 points in five of the previous seven postseason games. I like the upside for a 20-plus point game from Haliburton, so I like the Over 17.5 Points up to 18.5.”

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Cavaliers & Pacers game:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Cleveland Cavaliers on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Indiana Pacers at +5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 231.

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions pagefrom NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar!

Important stats, trends & insights to know ahead of Cavaliers vs. Pacers on Sunday

  • The Pacers have won eight of their last 10 home games
  • The over is 4-1 in the Pacers’ last five divisional matchups
  • The Pacers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games as an underdog
  • The Pacers have won 4 of their last 5 home games against Eastern Conference teams

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

– Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
– Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
– Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
– Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)



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