All three of Burnes, Gallen, and Soroka returned from the IL this week. Which do you expect to have the biggest positive impact on the team?
James Attwood: Probably Soroka. Burnes is still pitch-limited and is still looking for the feel and timing on his breaking pitches, especially the curve. Gallen has had a rough go of things for two years now. Soroka has at least been mostly good when healthy. If he can get stretched back out to 80 pitches and if he can find most of his form from earlier this season, he could help the team save the bullpen somewhat during the run-in to October.
Spencer: Burnes and it isn’t close. I think having Gallen “start” is telling of how they’ll be used. I think that deflates both Gallen and Soroka’s value. Plus we need Burnes or it’s over for this entire window. That might need to wait for 2027*, but it’d be nice to see it this year too.
Makakilo: My view is Soroka will have the biggest positive impact. Looking at their first games back, Sokoka had the best FIP and best expected statistics (xOBP allowed and xSLG allowed). My view is Burnes will have the second biggest positive impact.
Justin: I think Soroka will, but I want Burnes to. I don’t want to be a pessimist, but Burnes hasn’t pitched in essentially over a year. Other than whatever rehab stints or bullpens he has done.
Ben: I lean towards Soroka because he can either start or work as a longman out of the bullpen. My faith in Gallen has been thoroughly destroyed where I worry about how effective he can truly be in the rotation. And while Burnes looked pretty good in his first start, I worry that he’ll be on such a strict pitch count that his impact will be limited as well. So by default, I think the guy who was an excellent number-two in the rotation behind Eduardo Rodriguez should be a huge impact player down the stretch.
Justin Martinez seems to be rounding in to form nicely. Is there a way for him to force himself into high leverage innings before April of next year?
James Attwood: If the team makes it to the playoffs, he may well be in high leverage in October. It seems quite likely that, should everyone remain healthy and should there be a season in 2027, Martinez may enter April penciled in as the team’s closer.
Spencer: Probably but I’d be hesitant. Let him just have success without adding extra stress. He and Nelson (when back) would be my top choices for high leverage innings should one of the current group falter.
Makakilo: Pitching decisions will likely be decided on by game situations and data about batter/pitcher matchups. A few weeks may not be enough time to significantly change the data.
Justin: I want to make a smartass comment about baseball not being played in April, but….
I would go into ST with a competition for the closer role, but J. Mart has a leg up on everyone else. Please no signings of the next Brad Boxberger or Fernando Rodney.
Ben: He’s looked great in his first few games back, but it’ll be tough for him to force his way into those leverage positions while the team has an embarrassment of riches in the bullpen with Taylor Clarke, Kevin Ginkel, Juan Morillo, Brandyn Garcia, and Jonathan Loaisiga all providing tremendous value. Unless one of those pitchers falters, I suspect the team will slow roll Martinez back into the fold rather than throwing him right back into the high leverage role he clearly can occupy.
What’s your best prediction for the three NL Wild Card teams? Bonus points for how many wins the team on the outside looking in will have
James Attwood: Let’s get a bit optimistic. I could see the Padres being the one left without a seat. They might finish with 87 wins and still be on the outside looking in.
Spencer: I expect Chicago takes the top spot. Philly and AZ tie for the second and third with 86 wins. Padres will be first out with 85.
Makakilo: Predict Cubs, Phillies, and Dbacks. Predict the team on the outside will have 88 wins.
Justin: Unfortunately, I think it will be the Phillies, Padres and Cubs. We finish with 86 wins. I do think it is very possible that the final series against the Padres will be essentially a playoff series, though. In the preseason wins prediction article, I had the team at 84 wins. Blake 92 and Wes at 95 as the high water marks, with the low win total being 79 by Spencer and DBE. The average was 84.2 wins.
Ben: I think the three current holders (Phillies, Cubs, Padres) are the most likely finalists unfortunately. The race for the third spot will almost assuredly come down to that final series between the Padres and the D-Backs unless the Padres somehow stumble down the stretch or the D-Backs go on a huge run. Between now and then, the D-Backs face off against the Marlins, Rockies, and Yankees while the Padres go against the Rockies, Marlins, and Dodgers. So we’ll all become Dodgers fans for a couple days and hope they don’t have everything sewn up already by that point and roll over to San Diego.
Justin Martinez threw the second immaculate inning this season for the Diamondbacks. What’s the coolest moment in Diamondbacks history you’ve seen in person?
James Attwood: Way too many fun experiences over the years. With over 25 years of attending games, I have been to over a thousand of them. One moment that does really stick out to me is a VERY OLD memory. Micah Owings was just coming onto the scene as a pitcher with pop in his bat. Owings, a pitcher at the time, was tabbed to enter the game as a pinch hitter. The opposition actually made a pitching change to help the team face off against a pinch-hitting pitcher. It didn’t matter. Owings went deep and had the entire stadium laughing at and jeering the opposition manager.
Spencer: I don’t live in Phoenix so my in person Diamondbacks options are slim to say the least. Home opener 2019 was cool. As a kid I was at the game where Mark Grace had to pitch. Does that qualify as cool?
[Ed. note] Yes, yes it does
Makakilo: In 2017, I was at an exciting game in person. The following quote is from my article that posted on 1 December 2017.
“First let’s set the scene. It’s the Wild Card elimination game against the Rockies, bottom of the seventh inning. The D-backs have a 1-run lead. The two teams have scored 11 runs so far; the game is too close to call. An outstanding pitcher, Pat Neshek is on the mound. His statistics are impressive! (2017 regular season ERA of 1.12 with Phillies and 2.45 with Rockies. 2014-15 post-season ERA of 2.08.)”
“Lovullo makes a bold move by not pinch hitting for Bradley. Archie Bradley walks to the plate with two outs and men on first and second. He works the count to 2 balls and 2 strikes. The crowd is extremely loud. He spits out a sunflower husk. He hits that next pitch into the outfield gap and the ball bounces to the wall. Cheering is felt more than heard. The third base coach windmills wildly as Lamb and Descalso race home. Archie Bradley rounds second base with long strides and slides into third base with a triple.”
Justin: In terms of being physically at Chase Field, I saw Andy Green’s first MLB home run. I know he was just a cup of coffee AAAA player, but I still think that is kind of neat.
Most uncool moment was Rusty Ryal hitting a comebacker and knocked out Hiroki Koroda. He had to be stretchered off.
On TV, I watched Edwin Jackson’s no hitter, JD Martinez’ 4 homer game and others.
One of the Snakepitfests just happened to be the game that the Dbacks retired Gonzo’s number. IIRC, it was already preplanned that we would have the Snakepitfest on whatever date it was and it was a great coincidence that the team announced it would be the day they retired Gonzo’s jersey. Chris Young hit a walk off home run to win it….after Aaron Heilman blew a save allowing 2 home runs in the top of the 9th.
https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/ARI/ARI201008070.shtml
Ben: I haven’t been privileged enough to see that many moments in-person, but watching the no-hitter from Tyler Gilbert back in 2021 during his first major league start was an extremely cool moment. But I could also pick out basically any single moment from that 2023 postseason run as well.
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