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Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals is a gift from the Roundball Gods.
Before this series between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder, we all prayed for a thrilling back-and-forth battle between the NBA’s top two teams.
And while most of the games haven’t been competitive, the WCF has been like watching two heavyweights trade haymakers heading into the final round.
My Spurs vs. Thunder same-game parlay likes Oklahoma City to land the knockout punch Saturday, with 7-footer Chet Holmgren delivering the deciding blow after a bit of a “rope-a-dope” effort in the opening six games.
Here are my NBA picks and Spurs vs. Thunder predictions for May 30.
Our best Spurs vs Thunder SGP for Game 7
SGP leg #1: Thunder moneyline
It’s Game 7. Let’s not get the spread involved and keep this clean with a moneyline leg. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been excellent at home all season and while their offense gets a boost from the friendly confines, their defense has been especially disruptive versus the San Antonio Spurs at home in this series.
Oklahoma City is forcing almost 20 turnovers in the past three homestands with San Antonio, flipping those follies into 25 average points off turnovers. The big-game nerves will get the better of the young Spurs while OKC’s experience leads them back to the NBA Finals.
SGP leg #2: Chet Holmgren Over 13.5 points
After an up-and-down start to the series, Chet Holmgren has put in two solid efforts in Games 5 and 6. Solid but not standout. Holmgren’s scoring is down due in large part to the last four games being blowouts.
That’s limited his minutes and usage in the second half, leaving his prop total for Game 7 suppressed. Chet came up big for OKC in Game 7 of the NBA Finals last year after struggling and projections stand as tall as 16+ points on Saturday.
SGP leg #3: Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 rebounds
Holmgren has been very active on the glass in the last two contests of the Western finals, snatching 11 boards in both outings. He’s been in position for 36 total rebounding chances in those games and has got after it on the offensive boards, with seven total offensive rebounds boosting those results.
His impressive rebounding numbers have also been dulled by diminished floor time. With a tight game script in this do-or-die Game 7, Holmgren will log major minutes and make the most of that. Projections call for 9+ rebounds Saturday.
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Get Jason Logan’s full breakdown of this game, including his best bet, plus the latest NBA odds, injuries, and betting trends, in his Spurs vs. Thunder predictions for Game 7.
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