Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for NBA Playoffs Game 6

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Down 3-2 in the series, the Denver Nuggets still enter Game 6 as favorites — a shift driven largely by Minnesota’s backcourt injuries in Game 4.

With that context, these Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions and NBA picks expect the Timberwolves to empty the tank at home against Nikola Jokic and company on Thursday, April 30.

• UPDATE: Added who will win section for tonight’s game. 

Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction

Who will win Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 6?

Timberwolves: Minnesota may have gone into Denver to win a Game 7 just two years ago, but this isn’t 2024.

Why not take care of business at home? Why not reward home fans?

And more pressing, why not throw every wrinkle and adjustment at the Nuggets now rather than wait for a Game 7?

The added day between Games 5 and 6 should work in the Timberwolves’ favor, with a more experienced coaching staff and a more variable lineup getting an extra day to adjust after the Game 5 loss.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves best bet: Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 points (-112)

At the very least, Denver Nuggets’ superstar Nikola Jokic has looked tired in this series. He found more space inside in Game 5 and had his first efficient game of the series, yet Jokic still scored only 27 points.

And that is not because he played significantly fewer minutes. For someone so upset about a last-second layup in Game 4, Jokic still made a show of trying to embarrass a Minnesota Timberwolves’ rookie in the final seconds of Game 5.

Jokic played more than 37 minutes, and his 27 points stand out — especially since that’s his high-water mark in this series.

Credit Rudy Gobert. He has matched Jokic’s physicality and minutes this series, making the Serbian’s life miserable.

The Timberwolves should play their most aggressive defense of the series in Game 6. It’s stronger with Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo on the floor, but it can still hold up without them.

And even if it doesn’t show up, there hasn’t been any evidence that Jokic has the energy to post a 30-point masterpiece the way he so often has in the past.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves same-game parlay

There is distinct logic in expecting the Nuggets’ role players to come up short on the road, thus turning a few potential Jokic assists into nothing but missed shots.

Such missed shots should help Minnesota’s transition game, which needs to be a key piece of the Timberwolves’ offense.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves SGP

• Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 points

• Nikola Jokic Under 9.5 assists

Our “from downtown” SGP: Timberwolves prevail

This is the Timberwolves’ best chance, and do not underestimate their ability to adjust.

That is the hallmark of any team enjoying postseason success in the modern NBA, and Minnesota reached the Western Conference Finals in each of the last two springs. Some adjustments were clearly made.

If this week’s adjustment catches the Nuggets off guard, that should yield a Timberwolves win. In particular, keep an eye out for Terrence Shannon Jr. getting downhill or Minnesota trying to play a four-out lineup around Julius Randle to capitalize on his ability to draw multiple defenders and find an open shooter.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves SGP

• Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 points

• Nikola Jokic Under 9.5 assists

Nuggets vs Timberwolves odds for Game 6

• Spread: Nuggets -5.5 (-110) | Timberwolves +5.5 (-110)

• Moneyline: Nuggets -240 | Timberwolves +195

• Over/Under: Over 225.5 (-110) | Under 225.5 (-110)

Nuggets vs Timberwolves betting trend to know

Denver has fallen short of its team total in four of the five games in this series. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves.

How to watch Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 6

Nuggets vs Timberwolves latest injuries

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