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The 2026 NBA Rookie of the Year odds race is hitting the final weeks, and the preseason favorite continues to lose ground in this race.
No. 1-overall pick Cooper Flagg was been the clear odds-on favorite most of the season, sitting as short as -700 (an implied probability of 87.5%) just a month ago.
However, Charlotte’s Kon Knueppel (his teammate at Duke last season) leapfrogged him a few weeks ago — and has now grown his lead to sit at -210, averaging almost 21 points and five rebounds per game since February.
Current NBA Rookie of the Year odds
|
Player |
Implied probability |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Kon Knueppel |
-210 |
67.74% |
|
Cooper Flagg |
+160 |
38.46% |
|
V.J. Edgecombe |
+15000 |
0.66% |
Odds from bet365, one of our best betting apps. Sign up with our bet365 promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.
Latest NBA Rookie of the Year betting splits
Highest ticket percentage
• Kon Knueppel 24.9%
• V.J. Edgecombe 19.0%
• Cooper Flagg 13.8%
Highest betting handle percentage
• Kon Knueppel 47.2%
• Cooper Flagg 17.5%
• V.J. Edgecombe 15.8%
Biggest liability
• Kon Knueppel
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Covers NBA betting tools
NBA Rookie of the Year opening odds
Odds courtesy of Sports Odds History.
NBA ROY betting trends
Here are some trends to keep in mind when betting on NBA Rookie of the Year:
-
The No. 1 pick has won Rookie of the Year four times in the past 10 seasons.
-
Bigs (PF/C) haven’t had much success in ROY recently, with just four wins in the last 20 seasons.
-
Only one ROY winner this century (Malcolm Brogdon, 36th, 2016) was drafted outside of the lottery.
-
The Rookie of the Year has been drafted in the Top 5 in 16 of the past 20 seasons.
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NBA Rookie of the Year history
|
Year |
NBA ROY Winner |
Opening Odds |
Pick No. |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2024-25 |
Stephon Castle |
+1200 |
4 |
|
2023-24 |
Victor Wembanyama |
-145 |
1 |
|
2022-23 |
Paolo Banchero |
+200 |
1 |
|
2021-22 |
Scottie Barnes |
+1100 |
4 |
|
2020-21 |
LaMelo Ball |
+400 |
3 |
|
2019-20 |
Ja Morant |
+250 |
2 |
|
2018-19 |
Luka Doncic |
+250 |
3 |
|
2017-18 |
Ben Simmons |
+225 |
1 |
|
2016-17 |
Malcolm Brogdon |
N/A |
36 |
|
2015-16 |
Karl-Anthony Towns |
+450 |
1 |
|
2014-15 |
Andrew Wiggins |
+400 |
1 |
|
2013-14 |
Michael Carter-Williams |
+1200 |
11 |
|
2012-13 |
Damian Lillard |
+500 |
6 |
|
2011-12 |
Kyrie Irving |
+500 |
1 |
|
2010-11 |
Blake Griffin |
+200 |
1 |
|
2009-10 |
Tyreke Evans |
+700 |
4 |
|
2008-09 |
Derrick Rose |
+350 |
1 |
|
2007-08 |
Kevin Durant |
-200 |
2 |
|
2006-07 |
Brandon Roy |
+300 |
6 |
|
2005-06 |
Chris Paul |
N/A |
4 |
|
2004-05 |
Emeka Okafor |
N/A |
2 |
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